Kansas State vs Texas Tech Prediction 2/21/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article we will formulate a Kansas State vs Texas Tech prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, February 21st at United Supermarkets Arena in Lubbock, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Kansas State Wildcats Betting Preview

The Kansas State Wildcats are 11-15 (2-11) this season after they defeated Baylor by a score of 90-74 in their last game. Kansas State led 41-34 at halftime and they added 49 points in the second half in the win. The Wildcats shot 57% from the field, 47% on three pointers, and 82% on free throws in the game. PJ Haggerty led Kansas State with 34 points and five rebounds, while Nate Johnson added 33 points and nine assists in the win. 

Prior to that game, Kansas State lost to Houston by a score of 78-64 and Cincinnati by a score of 91-62. The Wildcats have scored 80.6 points per game with 34.7 rebounds and 17.8 assists per game, while they have allowed 80.4 points against per game this season. PJ Haggerty is averaging 23.7 points and 5.1 rebounds per game, while Nate Johnson is averaging 12.0 points and 4.6 assists per game for the Wildcats. Kansas State is shooting 46.1% from the field, 71.4% on free throws, and 36.7% on three pointers this season. 

Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview

The Texas Tech Red Raiders are 19-7 (9-4) this year after they lost to Arizona State by a score of 72-67 in their last game. Texas Tech trailed 37-36 at halftime and they only managed 31 points in the second half in the loss. The Red Raiders shot 44% from the field, 41% on three pointers, and 77% on free throws in the game. JT Toppin led Texas Tech with 20 points and eight rebounds, while Christian Anderson added 18 points and six assists in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Texas Tech defeated Arizona by a score of 78-75 and Colorado by a score of 78-44. The Red Raiders have scored 81.4 points per game with 37.7 rebounds and 16.0 assists per game, while they have allowed 72.3 points against per game this season. JT Toppin is the leading scorer for Tech, but he is out for the season, while Christian Anderson is averaging 19.0 points and 7.6 assists per game for the Red Raiders. Texas Tech is shooting 46.4% from the field, 71.0% on free throws, and 38.9% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win

• Texas Tech has won each of its last 10 home games against Kansas State.
• Kansas State has lost each of its last seven games against AP-ranked opponents.
• Kansas State has lost the first half in each of its last four day games against AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Kansas State Wildcats will win

• Texas Tech has lost three of its last four February games as a top-15 AP-ranked team.
• Kansas State has won the first half in three of its last four road day games against the Big 12 Conference.

Total Points Facts

• Twenty-three of Kansas State’s last 24 games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 158 or fewer points.
• Fourteen of Texas Tech’s last 16 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at United Supermarkets Arena have produced a total of 158 or fewer points.

Kansas State vs Texas Tech Prediction 

Texas Tech comes into this matchup after a bad loss to Arizona State on the road and they are going to take a step back with the Toppin injury. The Red Raiders are shooting 46% from the field and they have allowed 64 points or fewer in three of their last five. Kansas State snapped their losing streak with a win over Baylor, but they have allowed at least 78 points in four of their last five games. I know Texas Tech is dealing with injuries, but they should still run away for the cover here.

David Racey's Pick: Texas Tech -14.5