Jacksonville vs Florida State Prediction 12/22/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Florida State Seminoles and the Jacksonville Dolphins will meet on Monday evening in a non‑conference matchup at the Donald L. Tucker Civic Center in Tallahassee, Florida.

Florida State Seminoles Betting Preview

The Florida State Seminoles enter Monday night’s contest with a 6–6 win-loss record, including a 5–1 record at home. The Seminoles have compiled wins over Alcorn State, Alabama State, Tennessee‑Martin, Georgia Southern, and CSU Bakersfield, while dropping games to Florida, Georgia, Texas A&M, Houston and the Dayton Flyers. In the Florida State Seminoles dominant 98–72 win over the Georgia Southern Eagles last month, Florida State guard Lajae Jones tallied 36 points, 3 steals, 2 assists and 1 block.

The Florida State Seminoles average 84.8 points on 42 percent shooting from the field and 31.3 percent shooting from three‑point range per game. Defensively, the Seminoles are allowing opponents 79.6 points on 52.4 percent shooting from the field per game.

Senior guard Robert McCray V leads the Florida State Seminoles backcourt averaging 14.3 points, 3.7 rebounds, 6.8 assists and 1.6 steals per game. Senior guard Lajae Jones adds 11.8 points, 4.6 rebounds, 1.2 assists, 1.3 steals and 1 block per contest. Senior forward Alex Steen anchors the paint averaging 6.9 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1 block per game.

Jacksonville Dolphins Betting Preview

The Jacksonville Dolphins enter Sunday’s contest with a 5–7 record, including a 1–6 record on the road. The Dolphins have compiled wins over Trinity College of Jacksonville, VMI, and the Florida A&M Rattlers, while losing games to Miami, FIU and the George Mason Patriots. In the Jacksonville Dolphins 69–64 victory over the Bethune Cookman Wildcats earlier this season, Jacksonville guard Hayden Wood accumulated 15 points, 5 rebounds and 1 steal illustrating his ability to lead the Dolphins backcourt.

The Jacksonville Dolphins average 67.1 points on 41.8 percent shooting from the field and 32.5 percent shooting from three‑point range per game. On the defensive side of the basketball, the Dolphins allow opponents 80.3 points per game which ranks an abysmal 278th in the nation.

Sophomore guard Chris Arias leads the Jacksonville Dolphins averaging 10.7 points, 3 rebounds and 0.7 assists per game, while shooting a rather impressive 40% from the field and 84.6% from the free‑throw line. Junior forward Donovan Rivers adds 7.1 points and 5.3 rebounds per contest. Freshman guard Evan Sterck contributes 7.2 points, 1.8 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game. 

Why the Florida State Seminoles Will Win

• Quality scoring. Florida State guards Robert McCray V and Lajae Jones combine for over 27 points per game.

• Home dominance. Florida State is 5–1 at the Donald L. Tucker Civic Center this season.

• Athletic frontcourt. Senior forward Alex Steen provides rebounding and rim protection.

Why the Jacksonville Dolphins Will Win

• Quality guard play. Cameron Arias and Donovan Rivers can create offense for the Dolphins.

• Motivation. The Jacksonville Dolphins will look to defeat a quality ACC opponent on the road.

Florida State Seminoles vs. Jacksonville Dolphins Prediction

This matchup features Florida State Seminoles home court advantage and offensive firepower against the Jacksonville Dolphins more guard driven scoring attack. Look for the Seminoles to lean on Robert McCray V’s perimeter scoring and Alex Steen’s interior presence in the paint. The Jacksonville Dolphins will counter with Cameron Arias scoring to keep the game competitive.

The data from this season clearly indicates that the Jacksonville Dolphins are not a good road team. The Dolphins are 1-6 on the road in 2025. Conversely, Florida State tends to play at a high level at home. If Robert McCray V and Lajae Jones can consistently convert fast break opportunities, the Seminoles should pull away late in the game.

Hans Geevers's Pick: Florida State TBA