Bradley’s AJ Smith, left, battles for a rebound with Valparaiso’s Owen Dease, right, and Brody Whitaker in the first half of their college basketball game Tuesday, Feb. 3, 2026 at the Peoria Civic Center. The Braves defeated the Beacons 72-65.
MATT DAYHOFF/JOURNAL STAR / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Indiana State vs Valparaiso Prediction 2/15/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Indiana State Sycamores Valparaiso Beacons
Team Records 10-16 13-13
Where Athletics-Recreation Center, Valparaiso, IN
When Sunday, February 15, 2026
Time 02:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

The Indiana State Sycamores and the Valparaiso Beacons meet Sunday in college basketball action from the Athletics-Recreation Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Indiana State Sycamores vs. Valparaiso Beacons prediction.

Indiana State Sycamores Recap

The Indiana State Sycamores come into this game looking to bounce back from their 74-72 loss at the hands of Murray State last time out to sit at 10-16 this season. After this game, Indiana State will head home for a game against Northern Iowa.

Sycamores Lose 8 Of Last 10

Ian Scott leads Indiana State in scoring and rebounding with 13.6 PPG and 6.5 RPG while Camp Wagner has 12 PPG with 4.5 RPG as the only other double-digit scorer for Indiana State up to this point in the year. Sterling Young has 9.9 PPG while Xavier Hall has also added 7.5 PPG with 1.9 RPG and a team-high 4.3 APG to lead the Sycamores in assists so far this season. Derek Vorst has 8.7 PPG with 4.1 RPG as well up to this point in the year. As a team, Indiana State is averaging 75.1 PPG on 46.5% shooting from the field, 31.6% from three and 67.8% from the foul line this season.

Valparaiso Beacons Recap

The Valparaiso Beacons come into this game looking to shake off their 86-64 loss to Illinois State last time out to sit at 13-13 on the year. After this game, Valparaiso will take on Bradley at home.

Beacons Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped

Owen Dease leads the Beacons in scoring with 14 PPG along with 3.6 RPG while JT Pettigrew has 11.4 PPG with 6.6 RPG to lead Valpo in rebounding so far this season. Rakim Chaney has 10.2 PPG with 3.3 RPG and a team-high 2.7 APG to lead the Beacons in assists and to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Valparaiso this year while Brody Whitaker has 7.8 PPG with 2.8 RPG and Shon Tupuola has 6.3 PPG with 5.8 RPG. Justus McNair also has 7.9 PPG this season. As a team, Valparaiso is averaging 71.2 PPG on 41.5% shooting from the field, 32.5% from three and 71.2% from the foul line this season.

Indiana State Sycamores @ Valparaiso Beacons Betting Trends: February 15, 2026


Why the Valparaiso Beacons will win

  • Indiana State has lost each of its last seven day games against Conference opponents.
  • Valparaiso has won five of its last six home games.
  • The home team has won the first half in five of the last six games between Indiana State and Valparaiso.

Why the Indiana State Sycamores will win

  • The road team has won each of Indiana State’s last four games.
  • Valparaiso has lost 17 of its last 22 day games against Conference opponents.
  • Indiana State has won the first half in eight of its last nine games against Valparaiso.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Indiana State’s last five games have produced a total of 145+ points.
  • Five of the last six games between Indiana State and Valparaiso have produced a total of 146+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Valparaiso ranks T10th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.0).
  • Valparaiso ranks T48th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (11.7).
  • Indiana State ranks 19th among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (17.9).
  • Indiana State ranks 45th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (12.2).

Indiana State Sycamores vs. Valparaiso Beacons Prediction

I’m on Valparaiso in this one. Valpo has been so much strong at home as they’ve taken care of business against average teams and hung in close even in defeats against the better competition. In fairness, Indiana State’s kept it respectable lately themselves, but I think in the end, Valpo ices it at the line to get the win and cover at home. Give me Valparaiso.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Valparaiso -4.5

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