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Idaho vs Montana Prediction 3/11/25 College Basketball Picks
Pick details
Montana (23-9) vs Idaho (14-18)
March 11, 2025 at 11:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Montana -5.5 — Over/Under: 146.5
The Idaho Vandals and Montana Grizzlies meet Tuesday in the college basketball Big Sky Semifinal at the Idaho Central Arena. Here’s an Idaho vs Montana Prediction. This article will include an Idaho vs Montana Pick.
Idaho Vandals Betting Preview
The Idaho Vandals recently played Idaho State, Weber State, Montana State, and Portland State. Idaho looks to win two straight games for the first time since December 21 – January 2.
The Idaho Vandals are averaging 74 points on 44.2 percent shooting and allowing 75.7 points on 47 percent shooting. Kolton Mitchell is averaging 11.3 points and 2.5 rebounds, while Kristian Gonzalez is averaging 11.1 points and 1.2 assists. Jack Payne is the third double-digit scorer and Tyler Mrus is grabbing 3.2 rebounds. The Idaho Vandals are shooting 35.3 percent from beyond the arc and 75.2 percent from the free throw line. The Idaho Vandals are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 29.5 rebounds per game.
Montana Grizzlies Betting Preview
The Montana Grizzlies recently played Sacramento State, Portland State, Eastern Washington, and Northern Arizona. Montana has lost just one game since January 20.
The Montana Grizzlies are averaging 76.5 points on 49.8 percent shooting and allowing 73.5 points on 45.7 percent shooting. Money Williams is averaging 13.5 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Malik Moore is averaging 13.2 points and 3.1 rebounds. Joe Pidgen is the third double-digit scorer and Kai Johnson is dishing 1.8 assists. The Montana Grizzlies are shooting 35.4 percent from beyond the arc and 73.2 percent from the free throw line. The Montana Grizzlies are allowing 33.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 28.4 rebounds per game.
Why the Montana Grizzlies will win
- Montana has won each of its last 11 night games against the Big Sky Conference.
- Idaho has lost 10 of its last 11 games at Idaho Central Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Montana has won the first half in four of its last five Conference Tournament night games at Idaho Central Arena.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of the last nine games between Idaho and Montana have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.
- Ten of Idaho’s last 13 games have produced a total of 148+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Montana ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (60.0%).
- Montana ranks T38th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.7).
- Idaho ranks T50th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (26.8).
Idaho vs Montana Injury Report
Neither Idaho nor Montana have a player listed on its injury report.
Idaho vs Montana Prediction
Montana is the better team with the rest advantage, as the Grizzlies didn’t have to play yesterday while Idaho did. Montana also beat Idaho twice back in January and has won nine of the last 10 games against the Vandals overall. The right team is a decent-sized favorite. However, the two meetings this season were decided by a combined seven points. Idaho is coming off some of its best offensive performances of the season, where it lit Weber State and Portland State on fire. I don’t believe Idaho is intimated by Montana and is probably looking forward to this matchup given the close calls this season. I’ll grab the points with Idaho.
