Jan 7, 2026; Waco, Texas, USA;  Baylor Bears guard Cameron Carr (43) scores a three-point basket against Iowa State Cyclones guard Nate Heise (0) during the first half at Paul and Alejandra Foster Pavilion. Mandatory Credit: Chris Jones-Imagn Images
Chris Jones-Imagn Images

Houston vs Baylor Prediction 1/10/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Houston Cougars Baylor Bears
Team Records 15-1 10-5
Where Foster Pavilion, Waco, TX
When Saturday, January 10, 2026
Time 01:00 PM EST
TV Peacock

In this article we will formulate a Houston vs Baylor prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, January 10th at Foster Pavilion in Waco, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Houston Cougars Betting Preview

The Houston Cougars are 14-1 (2-0) this season after they defeated Texas Tech by a score of 69-65 in their last game. Houston was tied at 31 at halftime, but they scored 38 points in the second half to pull away with the win. The Cougars shot 39% from the field, 24% on three pointers, and 77% on free throws in the game. Kingston Flemings led Houston with 23 points and five assists, while Emanuel Sharp added 17 points and two assists in the win. 

Prior to that game, Houston defeated Cincinnati by a score of 67-60 and Middle Tennessee by a score of 69-60. The Cougars have scored 77.3 points per game with 37.8 rebounds and 15.7 assists per game, while they have allowed 60.3 points against per game this season. Kingston Flemings is averaging 16.1 points and 5.0 assists per game, while Emanuel Sharp is averaging 16.0 points and 2.9 rebounds per game for the Cougars. Houston is shooting 44.7% from the field, 76.3% on free throws, and 34.1% on three pointers this season. 

Baylor Bears Betting Preview

The Baylor Bears are 10-4 (0-2) this year after they lost to Iowa State by a score of 70-60 in their last game. Baylor trailed 25-24 at halftime and they allowed 45 points in the second half in the loss. The Bears shot 31% from the field, 19% on three pointers, and 59% on free throws in the game. Cameron Carr led Baylor with 17 points and five rebounds, while Caden Powell added 11 points and 11 rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Baylor lost to TCU by a score of 69-63, but did beat a non-D1 team by a score of 124-61 before that. The Bears have scored 90.7 points per game with 41.4 rebounds and 17.7 assists per game, while they have allowed 74.1 points against per game this season. Cameron Carr is averaging 20.7 points and 5.4 rebounds per game, while Tounde Yessoufou is averaging 18.0 points and 6.0 rebounds per game for the Bears. Baylor is shooting 49.6% from the field, 74.2% on free throws, and 35.5% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Baylor Bears will win

  • Baylor has won 10 of its last 11 day games at Foster Pavilion.
  • Houston has lost the first half in three of its last four January road games as a top-15 AP-ranked team.

Why the Houston Cougars will win

  • Houston has won each of its last 32 games as a top-15 AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
  • Baylor has lost each of its last eight games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
  • Baylor has lost the first half in seven of its last eight games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Twelve of Baylor’s last 13 day games have produced a total of 145+ points.
  • Nine of Houston’s last 10 games against the Big 12 Conference Conference have produced a total of 137 or fewer points.

Houston vs Baylor Prediction 

Houston comes into this matchup looking to stay undefeated in conference play, but they have played in three very close games against Texas Tech, Cincinnati, and Middle Tennessee recently. The Cougars are shooting 45% from the field, but their defense leads the way, as they have allowed 65 points or fewer in four of their last five. Baylor has dropped two games in a row and they have scored just 60 and 63 points in those two games. The Bears are shooting 50% from the field, but I don’t think they are going to find much success against this Houston defense. Take the under here.

David Racey's Pick: Under 142.5

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