Mar 21, 2025; Milwaukee, WI, USA; Troy Trojans forward Victor Valdes (11) drives to the hoop past Kentucky Wildcats guard Collin Chandler (5) during the first half at Fiserv Forum. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-Imagn Images
Jeff Hanisch-Imagn Images

Georgia Southern vs Troy Prediction 3/9/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Georgia Southern Eagles Troy Trojans
Team Records 21-15 21-11
Spread +5.5 -110 -5.5 -110
Moneyline +195 -238
Total Over 152.5 (-110) Under 152.5 (-110)
Where Pensacola Bay Center, Pensacola, FL
When Monday, March 9, 2026
Time 07:00 PM EDT
TV ESPN2

The Georgia Southern Eagles and the Troy Trojans meet Monday in college basketball action from the Pensacola Bay Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Troy Trojans prediction.

Georgia Southern Eagles Recap

The Georgia Southern Eagles booked their spot in the Sun Belt title game with an 82-78 win over Marshall last time out.

Eagles Looking To Finish Cinderella Run

Tyren Moore leads the Eagles in scoring and assists with 16.3 PPG and 2.6 APG along with 2.9 RPG while Spudd Webb has 15.5 PPG with 4.7 RPG and 2.5 APG and Alden Applewhite has 14.3 PPG with a team-high 6 RPG to lead the Eagles in rebounding and to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Georgia Southern this season. Nakavieon White has 9.6 PPG with 3.2 RPG and 2.3 APG as well this season. As a team, Georgia Southern is averaging 81.5 PPG on 43.8% shooting from the field, 33.8% from three and 74% from the foul line this season.

Why the Georgia Southern Eagles will win

– Georgia Southern has won each of its last six games.
– Georgia Southern has won the first half in five of its last six games played at neutral venues.

Troy Trojans Recap

The Troy Trojans come into this game looking to build on a 78-70 win over Southern Miss last time out to book their spot in the title game.

Troy Looking For Second Straight Tournament Appearance

Victor Valdes leads the Trojans in scoring with 15 PPG along with 4 RPG and 4.4 APG while Thomas Dowd has 14.3 PPG with 10.1 RPG to lead the Trojans in rebounding by averaging a double-double per game. Cooper Campbell has 12.8 PPG with 3.5 RPG and a team-high 4.4 APG to lead Troy in assists while Theo Seng has 12.9 PPG with 5.8 RPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Troy so far this season. Cobi Campbell also has 9.1 PPG as well this season for Troy. As a team, Troy is averaging 80.5 PPG on 44.4% shooting from the field, 33.9% from three and 73.5% from the foul line this season.

Why the Troy Trojans will win

– Troy has won each of its last four games against Georgia Southern.
– Troy has won the first half in each of its last four games against Georgia Southern.

Total Points Facts

– Each of Georgia Southern’s last six games have produced a total of 157+ points.
– Ten of Troy’s last 11 games have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.

Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Troy Trojans Prediction

I’m on the Eagles here. It feels like Georgia Southern is a team of destiny, and this is the danger of these tournaments that run the ladder format. You get a hot team that catches fire and all of a sudden if you’re troy, you have to try to slow down the momentum. Georgia Southern is legit and Troy’s had a history of playing down to lesser teams this season. Give me Georgia Southern.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Georgia Southern +5.5

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