Dec 13, 2025; Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA; North Carolina Tar Heels forward Caleb Wilson (8) shoots as USC Upstate Spartans guard Mason Bendinger (9) defends in the second half at Dean E. Smith Center. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-Imagn Images
Bob Donnan-Imagn Images

Gardner Webb vs USC Upstate Prediction 3/4/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Gardner Webb Bulldogs USC Upstate Spartans
Team Records 3-28 10-13
Spread +10.5 -108 -10.5 -112
Moneyline +470 -650
Total Over 148.5 (-108) Under 148.5 (-112)
Where Freedom Hall (TN), Johnson City, TN
When Wednesday, March 4, 2026
Time 07:30 PM EST
TV ESPN+

The Gardner-Webb Bulldogs and South Carolina Upstate Spartans meet Wednesday in college basketball action at Freedom Hall. Here’s a Gardner Webb vs. USC Upstate prediction. This article will include a Gardner Webb vs. USC Upstate pick.

Gardner-Webb Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Gardner-Webb Bulldogs lost to UNC Asheville and SC Upstate. Gardner-Webb has lost 9 straight games.

The Gardner-Webb Bulldogs are averaging 70.8 points on 43 percent shooting and allowing 82.4 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Jacob Hogarth is averaging 11 points and 1.3 assists, while Jacob Hudson is averaging 10.2 points and 4.1 rebounds. Spence Sims is dishing out 0.8 assists and Colin Hawkins is grabbing 1.7 rebounds. The Gardner-Webb Bulldogs are shooting 31.2 percent from beyond the arc and 67.7 percent from the free throw line. The Gardner-Webb Bulldogs are allowing 31.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 28.1 rebounds per game.

South Carolina Upstate Spartans Betting Preview

The South Carolina Upstate Spartans lost to Radford and beat Gardner Webb. South Carolina’s Upstate has lost 8 of its last 12 games.

The South Carolina Upstate Spartans are averaging 77 points on 44 percent shooting and allowing 76.4 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Mason Bendinger is averaging 14.6 points and 1.1 assists, while Karmani Gregory is averaging 15.8 points and 2.9 assists. Carmleo Adkins is the third double-digit scorer and Learic Davis is grabbing 4.6 rebounds. The South Carolina Upstate Spartans are shooting 32.4 percent from beyond the arc and 68.8 percent from the free-throw line. The South Carolina Upstate Spartans are allowing 34.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.6 rebounds per game.

Why the USC Upstate Spartans will win

  • Gardner-Webb has lost each of its last nine games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • USC Upstate has won the first half in each of its last three games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Gardner-Webb Runnin’ Bulldogs will win

  • Gardner-Webb has won nine of its last 10 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
  • USC Upstate has lost 14 of its last 16 night games against the Big South Conference.

Total Points: Facts

  • Ten of Gardner-Webb’s last 11 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.
  • Five of USC Upstate’s last six night games have produced a total of 143 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • USC Upstate ranks T44th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (11.6).
  • Gardner-Webb ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for defensive rating this season (122.4).
  • Gardner-Webb ranks 363rd among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (86.3).

Gardner Webb vs USC Upstate Prediction

USC Upstate just beat Gardner Webb by 10 points last week and has obviously been the better team this season. However, this is a lot of points for a neutral-site game. Also, Gardner Webb doesn’t win games, but it’s covered 8 of its last 10 games, which includes 7 straight covers overall. Gardner Webb has covered 7 straight games as a double-digit underdog. I’m going to ride that trend and grab the points with the Bulldogs.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Gardner Webb +10.5

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