Nov 3, 2025; Knoxville, Tennessee, USA;  Mercer Bears guard Quinton Perkins II (3) passes the ball against the Tennessee Volunteers during the second half at Thompson-Boling Arena at Food City Center. Mandatory Credit: Randy Sartin-Imagn Images
Randy Sartin-Imagn Images

Furman vs Mercer Prediction 2/11/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Furman Paladins Mercer Bears
Team Records 16-9 15-10
Spread +2.5 -110 -2.5 -110
Moneyline +124 -148
Total Over 151.5 (-115) Under 151.5 (-105)
Where Hawkins Arena, Macon, GA
When Wednesday, February 11, 2026
Time 07:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

In this article, we will formulate a Furman vs Mercer Prediction for this college basketball game on Wednesday, February 11th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Mercer Bears Preview

The Mercer Bears have a 15-10 overall record this season and a 7-5 record in the SoCon. They are coming off a 69-49 road loss against Samford and their previous four games were a 78-64 home win against The Citadel, an 88-74 road win against Western Carolina, a 78-73 road win against Furman and a 75-64 home win against Chattanooga.

Offensively, Mercer averages 84 points per game, while allowing 75.5 points per game defensively. The Bears shoot with 45% from the field and grab 39.3 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.6 assists per game. They average 3.4 blocks per game and 8.5 steals per game defensively.

Baraka Okojie leads Mercer in scoring and assists, with an average of 19 points per game and 5.6 assists per game, while shooting with 42.1% from the field and 83.3% from the free throw line. Armani Mighty is the team’s leading rebounder with 10.4 per game.

Furman Paladins Preview

The Furman Paladins have a 16-9 overall record this season and a 7-5 record in the SoCon. They are coming off a 67-64 home loss against UNC Greensboro and their previous four games were a 75-71 overtime road loss against East Tennessee State, a 75-70 home win against Chattanooga, a 78-73 home win against Samford and an 89-66 road win against UNC Greensboro.

Offensively, Furman averages 76.8 points per game, while allowing 70.3 points per game defensively. The Paladins shoot with 48% from the field and grab 38.6 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.5 assists per game. They average 3.3 blocks per game and 5.2 steals per game defensively.

Alex Wilkins leads Furman in scoring and assists, with an average of 18.5 points per game and 5 assists per game, while shooting with 46.5% from the field and 81.6% from the free throw line. Charles Johnston is the team’s leading rebounder with 9.5 per game.

Furman Paladins @ Mercer Bears Betting Trends: February 11, 2026

Why the Mercer Bears will win

  • Mercer has won each of its last 12 games at Hawkins Arena.
  • Furman has lost three of its last four night games against Conference opponents.
  • Mercer has won the first half in each of its last seven home games.

Why the Furman Paladins will win

  • Furman has won 12 of its last 13 night games against Mercer.
  • Furman has won the first half in each of its last seven night games against Mercer.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Mercer’s last six home games have produced a total of 164+ points.
  • Each of Furman’s last four games have produced a total of 151 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Mercer ranks 20th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (63.8).
  • Mercer ranks 36th among Division 1 teams for points per game this season (84.0).
  • Furman ranks T24th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (11.5).
  • Furman ranks T27th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (16.1).

Furman vs Mercer Prediction

In this Furman vs Mercer Prediction, Mercer is coming as -2.5 home favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records this season, but Mercer has been undefeated at home and has been much better against the spread, with a 16-6 ATS record so far. Both teams are coming off back-to-back losses but Mercer has been red-hot offensively at home lately, having scored 95 twice, 88, 109 and 101 points in its last five home games, so I expect them to use that efficiency and get away with the win and also cover the spread at home in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Mercer -2.5

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