Fresno State vs Air Force Prediction 1/31/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Fresno State vs Air Force Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, January 31st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Air Force Falcons Preview

The Air Force Falcons have a 3-17 overall record this season and a 0-9 record in the Mountain West. They are coming off a 96-54 away loss against Boise State and their previous three games were an 81-52 away loss against Colorado State, an 81-66 home loss against Nevada and a 70-62 away loss against San Jose State.

Offensively, Air Force averages 61.3 points per game, while allowing 77.2 points per game defensively. The Falcons shoot with 43% from the field and grab 29.3 rebounds per game, while dishing out 11.7 assists per game. They average 2.8 blocks per game and 5.8 steals per game defensively.

Caleb Walker leads Air Force in scoring, with an average of 11.9 points per game, while shooting with 73% from the field and 53.2% from the free throw line. Eli Robinson is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.3 per game, while Kam Sanders leads the team in assists with 3.2 per game.

Fresno State Bulldogs Preview

The Fresno State Bulldogs have a 9-11 overall record this season and a 3-6 record in the Mountain West. They are coming off a 68-57 home loss against Grand Canyon and their previous three games were an 83-74 away win against New Mexico, a 63-60 home win against Wyoming and a 79-69 home win against Colorado State.

Offensively, Fresno State averages 71.8 points per game, while allowing 70.7 points per game defensively. The Bulldogs shoot with 44% from the field and grab 35.5 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.5 assists per game. They average 2.1 blocks per game and 7.3 steals per game defensively.

Jake Heidbreder leads Fresno State in scoring, with an average of 17.3 points per game, while shooting with 41% from the field and 91.6% from the free throw line. Wilson Jacques is the team’s leading rebounder with 8.5 per game, while Zaon Collins leads the team in assists with 4.9 per game.

Fresno State Bulldogs @ Air Force Falcons Betting Trends: January 31, 2026

Why the Air Force Falcons will win

• Fresno State has lost 14 of its last 15 day games against Conference opponents.
• The home team has won four of Fresno State’s last five games.
• Fresno State has lost the first half in four of its last five games.

Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win

• Air Force has lost each of its last 14 games against Conference opponents.
• Fresno State has won each of its last nine games against Air Force following a home loss.
• Air Force has lost the first half in each of its last 11 home games against Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Five of Air Force’s last six home day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 140+ points.
• Each of Fresno State’s last three day games have produced a total of 131 or fewer points.

Fresno State vs Air Force Prediction

In this Fresno State vs Air Force Prediction, Fresno State is coming as -9.5 road favorites. Fresno State has been the better team this season and have also been better against the spread than Air Force, who has been absolutely terrible lately with 13 consecutive losses and 1-6 against the spread in its last 7 games. On the flip side, Fresno is 6-2 against the spread in its last 8 games and are facing the nation’s third-worst offense in Air Force, so I expect them to take care of business and cover the spread on the road in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Fresno State -9.5