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Florida vs Alabama Prediction 3/5/25 College Basketball Picks
Pick details
Alabama (23-6) vs Florida (25-4)
March 5, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Alabama -3.5 — Over/Under: 178.5
In this article, we will formulate a Florida vs Alabama prediction for this College Basketball game on Wednesday, March 5th at the Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.
Florida Gators Betting Preview
The Florida Gators are 25-4 (12-4) this year after they defeated Texas A&M by a score of 89-70 in their last game. Florida led 45-34 at halftime and they added 44 points in the second half in the win. The Gators shot 47.8% from the field, 42.4% on three-pointers, and 68.8% on free throws in the game. Will Richard led Florida with 25 points and six rebounds, while Thomas Haugh added 17 points and three rebounds in the game.
Prior to that victory, the Gators lost to Georgia by a score of 88-83 but did beat LSU by a score of 79-65 before that. Florida has won seven of their last eight games and they are currently tied for second in the SEC standings with a 12-4 record. Florida has scored 83.8 points per game and they have allowed 67.2 points per game, while also averaging 42.0 rebounds and 15.8 assists per game this season. Walter Clayton Jr. is averaging 16.9 points, 3.7 rebounds, and 4.0 assists per game, while Alijah Martin is averaging 14.7 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 2.4 assists per game this year. Florida is shooting 46.7% from the field, 71.2% on free throws, and 35.4% on three-pointers this season.
Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview
The Alabama Crimson Tide are 23-6 (12-4) this season after they lost to Tennessee by a score of 79-76 in their last game. Alabama led 42-38 at halftime, but they allowed 41 points in the second half and had a crucial five-second call late in the game that led to the loss. The Crimson Tide shot 41.7% from the field, 37.5% on three-pointers, and 65.4% on free throws in the game. Mark Sears led Alabama with 24 points and four assists, while Labaron Philon added 13 points and four assists in the game.
Prior to that loss, the Crimson Tide defeated Mississippi State by a score of 111-73 and Kentucky by a score of 96-83. Alabama has lost three of their last five games and they are currently tied with Florida in the SEC standings with a 12-4 record. Alabama has scored 91.0 points per game and they have allowed 80.1 points per game, while also averaging 43.7 rebounds and 16.8 assists per game this season. Mark Sears is averaging 19.1 points, 3.0 rebounds, and 5.0 assists per game, while Aden Holloway is averaging 12.0 points, 2.0 rebounds, and 1.8 assists per game this year. Alabama is shooting 48.3% from the field, 72% on free throws, and 35.1% on three-pointers this season.
Why Alabama will beat Florida
- Alabama has won 29 of its last 32 night games at Coleman Coliseum.
- Florida has lost each of its last three night games at Coleman Coliseum.
- Florida has lost the first half in five of its last six road games against the Southeastern Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Florida’s last 15 games against Conference opponents has produced a total of 171 or fewer points.
- Thirty-five of Alabama’s last 42 night games at Coleman Coliseum have produced a total of 175 or fewer points.
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Florida vs Alabama Prediction
Both of these teams come into this matchup having fantastic seasons, but Alabama will have the home-court advantage here. The Crimson Tide have lost three of their last five games, but two of those losses were on the road and the other came against Auburn at home. Alabama is the highest-scoring team in the country, but they also play very little defense. Florida lost their last road game against Georgia but bounced back with a great performance against A&M. This should be a very entertaining matchup between two teams that know how to score, but Florida has had some struggles in their last two road games. Take Alabama at home here.