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Tennessee vs Ole Miss Prediction 3/5/25 College Basketball Picks

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Ole Miss (20-9) vs Tennessee (24-5)

March 5, 2025 at 09:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Ole Miss +2.5 — Over/Under: 137.5

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The Tennessee Volunteers and Ole Miss Rebels meet on Wednesday in college basketball action at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss. Here’s a Tennessee vs Ole Miss prediction. This article will include a Tennessee vs Ole Miss Pick.

Tennessee Volunteers Betting Preview

The Tennessee Volunteers (24-5, 15-13-1 ATS) are going through a good sequence of results right now. Tennessee won seven of the previous eight games, and it wasn’t for Kentucky, this would now be an eight-game winning streak. The Volunteers were on a three-game winning run when Kentucky stopped them, but the Vols quickly responded with four wins in a row, defeating a pair of top-10 ranked teams such as Texas A&M and Alabama along the way. Tennessee is 4th in the SEC Standings, two wins ahead of Ole Miss and 3.5 games behind the leaders Auburn.

Tennessee is averaging 74.5 PPG (177th) and is allowing 61.3 PPG (7th). The Vols are getting 37.6 RPG (82nd) and dish out 15.4 APG (80th). Chaz Lanier is the team’s top scorer with 17.8 PPG and 3.9 RPG. Zakai Zeigler adds 13.7 PPG, 3.0 RPG, a team-high 7.2 APG, and a team-high 2.0 SPG, while Jordan Gainey contributes 10.8 PPG, 3.4 RPG, and 1.1 SPG.

Ole Miss Rebels Betting Preview

The Ole Miss Rebels (20-9, 14-14-1 ATS) were inches from suffering the fourth consecutive defeat but managed to record a narrow victory over Oklahoma. Before that win, Ole Miss lost to Mississippi State, Vanderbilt, and Auburn, and that was the second time this season the Rebels endured a three-game losing skid. Ole Miss is 7th in the SEC Standings, 5.5 games behind the No.1 seed Auburn.

Ole Miss averages 77.9 PPG (85th) and allows 71.0 PPG (155th). The Rebels are 347th in rebounds (33.0) and 118th in assists (14.8). Sean Pedulla leads the team with 15.2 PPG, 3.6 RPG, a team-high 3.8 APG, and a team-high 1.9 SPG. Jaemyn Brakefield follows him with 11.0 PPG and 4.6 RPG, while Matthew Murrell has 11.0 PPG, 3.4 RPG, 2.0 APG, and 1.8 SPG.

Why Tennessee will beat Ole Miss

  • Tennessee has won 18 of its last 19 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Ole Miss has lost 10 of its last 11 home games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • The road team has won the first half in each of Tennessee’s last four games.

Total Points Facts


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  • Each of Ole Miss’ last 10 games against Conference opponents has produced a total of 140+ points.
  • Four of Tennessee’s last five road night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 125 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Ole Miss ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.66).
  • Ole Miss ranks T28th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (8.8).
  • Tennessee ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (61.3).
  • Tennessee ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (9.7).

Tennessee vs Ole Miss Prediction

Tennessee has been dominating this fixture in the recent past. The Vols won nine of the previous ten H2H duels, including each of the last four. Tennessee was better in three of the last four H2Hs at Ole Miss, and I think the visitors can add another win on Wednesday. The Volunteers are in better form and are battling for a top-four spot in the conference. Ole Miss has only covered the Spread in 13 of its last 32 games and is 1-8-1 ATS in the previous ten. I am backing Tennessee to win and cover this modest spread.

 

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Tennessee -2.5


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