Florida State vs SMU Prediction 1/24/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article we will formulate a Florida State vs SMU prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, January 24th at the Moody Coliseum in Dallas, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Florida State Seminoles Betting Preview

The Florida State Seminoles are 8-11 (1-5) this season after they defeated Miami by a score of 65-63 in their last game. Florida State led 38-37 at halftime and they held Miami to just 26 points in the second half for the win. The Seminoles shot 45% from the field, 35% on three pointers, and 73% on free throws in the game. Robert McCray V led FSU with 20 points and four rebounds, while Chauncey Wiggins added 10 points and one rebound in the win. 

Prior to that game, Florida State lost to Wake Forest by a score of 69-68 and Syracuse by a score of 94-86. The Seminoles have scored 81.4 points per game with 36.6 rebounds and 14.8 assists per game, while they have allowed 80.4 points against per game this season. Robert McCray V is averaging 13.9 points and 6.4 assists per game, while Chauncey Wiggins is averaging 12.0 points and 4.1 rebounds per game for the Seminoles. Florida State is shooting 42.3% from the field, 71.8% on free throws, and 31.6% on three pointers this season. 

SMU Mustangs Betting Preview

The SMU Mustangs are 14-5 (3-3) this year after they defeated Wake Forest by a score of 91-79 in their last game. SMU led 45-36 at halftime and they added 46 points in the second half to complete the win. The Mustangs shot 50% from the field, 50% on three pointers, and 72% on free throws in the game. BJ Edwards led SMU with 24 points and eight rebounds, while Jaron Pierre Jr added 13 points and three rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, SMU lost to Virginia by a score of 72-68, but did beat Virginia Tech by a score of 77-76 before that. The Mustangs have scored 87.5 points per game with 38.4 rebounds and 17.8 assists per game, while they have allowed 76.8 points against per game this season. Boopie Miller is averaging 19.8 points and 6.8 assists per game, while Jaron Pierre Jr is averaging 16.9 points and 4.8 rebounds per game for the Mustangs. SMU is shooting 49.7% from the field, 77.0% on free throws, and 36.8% on three pointers this year. 

Why the SMU Mustangs will win

• SMU has won each of its last 10 games at Moody Coliseum (Dallas) against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Florida State has lost each of its last nine Saturday road games against the Atlantic Coast Conference.
• Florida State has lost the first half in eight of its last nine Saturday road games against the Atlantic Coast Conference.

Why the Florida State Seminoles will win

• SMU has lost six of its last seven day games against the Atlantic Coast Conference.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of SMU’s last nine games against the Atlantic Coast Conference Conference at Moody Coliseum (Dallas) have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
• Thirty-two of Florida State’s last 37 day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 166 or fewer points.

Florida State vs SMU Prediction 

Florida State comes into this matchup after snapping their losing streak with a win over Miami in their last game and they also have very close losses to Wake Forest and Duke in their last five games. The Seminoles are shooting 42% from the field and they have allowed at least 91 points in three of their last five. SMU has won two of their last three games and they have also been in quite a few close battles. The Mustangs are shooting 50% from the field and they are the better team, but I like how FSU has kept games close. Take the points with the Seminoles here.

David Racey's Pick: Florida State +12.5