Elon vs Navy Prediction College Basketball Picks 11/30/24

Pick details

Navy (2-4) vs Elon (3-2)

November 30, 2024 at 02:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Navy +5 / Elon -5 — Over/Under: 145

(Get latest betting odds)

The Navy Midshipmen are visiting the Elon Phoenix on Saturday, November 30th at The Palestra Gymnasium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Navy Midshipmen vs Elon Phoenix Prediction.

Elon Phoenix Preview

The Elon Phoenix have a 3-2 record this season and are coming off an 84-77 win in Notre Dame. The Phoenix are 2-3 against the spread, and 3-2 in over/under while having a 1-0 home record.

Offensively, Elon is averaging 83.4 points per game, which ranks 56th in the nation. Defensively, they are allowing 72.2 points per game (205th). The Phoenix shoot 49.5% from the field (44th) and 38.2% from beyond the arc (51st). The Phoenix shoot 74.1% from the free throw line (99th) and are grabbing 42.2 rebounds per game (30th).

Nick Dorn leads Elon scoring this season, with an average of 17.2 points and 5.2 rebounds, while TJ Simpkins adds 16.8 points and 3 rebounds.

Navy Midshipmen Preview

The Navy Midshipmen have a 2-4 record this season and are coming off a 94-43 win over Washington College. The Midshipmen are 2-3 against the spread, and 3-2 in over/under, while having a 0-1 road record.

Offensively, Navy is averaging 75 points per game, which ranks 212th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 73.8 points per game (242nd). The Midshipmen shoot 42.7% from the field (261st) and 31.7% from beyond the arc (249th). The Midshipmen shoot 73.3% from the free-throw line (113th) and are grabbing 36.8 rebounds per game (192nd).

Austin Benigni leads Navy in scoring this season, with an average of 18.7 points and a team-high 4.7 assists, while Aidan Kehoe adds 11.7 points and a team-high 8.5 rebounds. Navy will face Maine following this game.

Why the Navy Midshipmen will win

  • Elon has lost 15 of its last 16 day games against non-conference opponents.
  • Navy has won each of its last four games played at neutral venues.
  • Elon has lost the first half in each of its last four day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.

Why the Elon Phoenix will win

  • Navy has lost three of its last four games against non-conference opponents.
  • Navy has lost the first half in three of its last four games against the Coastal Athletic Association.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Navy ranks 50th among Division 1 teams for assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.53).
  • Elon ranks 359th among Division 1 teams for opponent assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.80).
  • Elon ranks 22nd among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (14.0).

Navy Midshipmen vs Elon Phoenix Prediction

Both teams are tied 2-2 wins in their previous 4 meetings and are 2-2 against the spread. In this Navy Midshipmen vs Elon Phoenix Prediction, Elon is coming as a -5 home favorites. Elon is better both offensively, scoring 8.4 points more than Navy, and defensively, allowing 1.6 points less. Elon boasts elite shooting percentages, as they rank in the top 50 of the nation both in field goal and in 3-point percentage, while Navy is below the nation average in both. Elon is also the 30th-best team nationally in rebounding, so the value here lies with the home team. Take the Elon Phoenix and lay the points at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Elon Phoenix -5`

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