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Dayton vs St. Louis Prediction 1/31/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

St. Louis (13-8) vs Dayton (14-7)

January 31, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: St. Louis +1 — Over/Under: 144.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Dayton Flyers and Saint Louis Billikens meet Friday in college basketball action at the Chaifetz Arena. Here’s a Dayton vs Saint Louis Prediction. This article will include a Dayton vs Saint Louis Pick.

Dayton Flyers Betting Preview  

The Dayton Flyers beat Saint Joseph’s, lost to St. Bonaventure, and they play Davidson, VCU, and Fordham next. The Dayton Flyers are averaging 75 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 69.5 points on 43.5 percent shooting. Nate Santos is averaging 14.5 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Enoch Cheeks is averaging 13 points and 1.7 assists. Malachi Smith is the third double-digit scorer and Zed Key is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Dayton Flyers are shooting 36.4 percent from beyond the arc and 71.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Dayton Flyers are allowing 34.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.7 rebounds per game.

Saint Louis Billikens Betting Preview 

The Saint Louis Billikens lost to George Washington, beat VCU, and they play UMASS, Saint Joseph’s, and George Mason next. The Saint Louis Billikens are averaging 74.7 points on 47.6 percent shooting and allowing 69 points on 41.1 percent shooting. Robbie Avila is averaging 17.9 points and 6.6 rebounds, while Gibson Jimerson is averaging 17.6 points and 0.8 assists. Isaiah Swope is the third double-digit scorer and Kalu Anya is grabbing 9.4 rebounds. The Saint Louis Billikens are shooting 33.9 percent from beyond the arc and 67.8 percent from the free throw line. The Saint Louis Billikens are allowing 29.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Saint Louis Billikens will win

  • Saint Louis has won 11 of its last 12 games at Chaifetz Arena.
  • Dayton has lost six of its last eight road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Dayton has lost the first half in three of its last four night games at Chaifetz Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Dayton Flyers will win

  • Dayton has won each of its last four games against Saint Louis following a road loss.

Total Points Facts

  • Six of Saint Louis’ last seven games have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.
  • Eighteen of Dayton’s last 23 road night games against the Atlantic 10 Conference have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Saint Louis ranks 42nd among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (11.3).
  • Saint Louis ranks T45th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (11.1).
  • Dayton ranks 39th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.6).
  • Dayton ranks 42nd among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (15.8).

Dayton vs Saint Louis Injury Report

Dayton will continue to be without Marvel Allen due to a knee injury. Saint Louis will be without AJ Casey, Larry Hughes Jr., and Josiah Dotzler. Kellen Thames is questionable for Saint Louis. 

Dayton vs Saint Louis Prediction

Dayton is probably the better team when both sides are at their best. The problem is Dayton has fallen off over the last month or so and the Flyers have lost three of their four road games. Saint Louis is finally starting to figure things out with wins in seven of their last nine games and that includes a big upset win over VCU. Saint Louis is 11-1 SU at home this season and with the transfers it snagged this offseason, this was supposed to be a successful season with a potential NCAA Tournament berth. Wins like this could be the starting point toward a big February / March. I’ll grab the bucket with Saint Louis, a game the Billikens could win outright at home.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Saint Louis +1.5

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