Cincinnati Bearcats guard Day Day Thomas (1) passes around Georgia State Panthers center Christian Beam (32) in the first half of the NCAA basketball game at Fifth Third Arena in Cincinnati on Nov. 7, 2025.
Albert Cesare/The Enquirer / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Dayton vs Cincinnati Prediction 11/11/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Flyers Dayton Bearcats Cincinnati
Team Records 2-0 2-0
Spread +6.5 -108 -6.5 -112
Moneyline +245 -305
Total Over 146.5 (-108) Under 146.5 (-112)
Where Fifth Third Arena, Cincinnati, OH
When Tuesday, November 11, 2025
Time 07:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

In this article we will formulate a Dayton vs Cincinnati prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, November 11th at Fifth Third Arena in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Dayton Flyers Betting Preview

The Dayton Flyers are 2-0 this season after they defeated UMBC by a score of 77-71 in their last game. Dayton led 41-37 at halftime and was able to maintain that lead in the second half for the win. The Flyers shot 51% from the field, 31.6% on three pointers, and 79.2% on free throws in the game. Dayton was out rebounded by a total of 31-27, recorded 15 assists, and committed nine turnovers in the game. Javon Bennett led the Flyers with 16 points and seven assists, while Keonte Jones added 12 points and five steals in the win. 

Prior to that game, Dayton defeated Canisius by a score of 88-48 to start the season. The Flyers have scored 82.5 points per game with 30.0 rebounds and 15.5 assists per game, while they have allowed 59.5 points against per game this season. Javon Bennett is averaging 18.0 points and 4.5 assists per game, while Amael L’Etang is averaging 14.0 points and 6.0 rebounds per game for the Flyers. Dayton is shooting 52% from the field, 72.3% on free throws, and 27.9% on three pointers this season. 

Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Bearcats are 2-0 this year after they defeated Georgia State by a score of 74-64 in their last game. Cincinnati led 39-30 at halftime, but wasn’t able to pull away in the second half in the win. The Bearcats shot 40.3% from the field, 22.6% on three pointers, and 65.4% on free throws in the game. Cincinnati out rebounded Georgia State by a total of 40-35, recorded 15 assists, and committed 16 turnovers in the win. Baba Miller led the Bearcats with 24 points and 11 rebounds, while Day Day Thomas added 12 points and four assists in the game. 

Prior to that game, Cincinnati defeated Western Carolina by a score of 94-63 to start their season. The Bearcats have scored 84.0 points per game with 38.0 rebounds and 17.5 assists per game, while they have allowed 63.5 points against per game this season. Baba Miller is averaging 21.0 points and 10.5 rebounds per game, while Moustapha Thiam is averaging 14.0 points and 7.0 rebounds per game for the Bearcats. Cincinnati is shooting 47.1% from the field, 66.1% on free throws, and 28.8% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Cincinnati Bearcats will win

  • Cincinnati has won each of its last 25 games against non-Conference opponents at Fifth Third Arena.

Why the Dayton Flyers will win

  • Dayton has won 14 of its last 16 night games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Dayton’s last six road games have produced a total of 148+ points.
  • Eleven of Cincinnati’s last 13 games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.

Dayton vs Cincinnati Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup with a 2-0 record to start the season, but Cincinnati will be at home for this one. The Bearcats have played great defense to start the season, as they have allowed 64 and 63 points in their first two wins. Dayton is shooting 52% from the field, but they had trouble getting by UMBC in their last game and they are only averaging 30 rebounds per game. Take Cincinnati to cover at home.

David Racey's Pick: Cincinnati -6.5

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