CSU Bakersfield vs Cal Poly Prediction 3/7/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners and the Cal Poly Mustangs meet Saturday in college basketball action from Mott Athletic Center. Here’s a CSU Bakersfield vs Cal Poly prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best CSU Bakersfield vs Cal Poly pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners Betting Preview

The Roadrunners were 8-9 back on January 8 and coming off a 4-1 run. After that came a losing streak versus Long Beach State, UC Santa Barbara, UC San Diego, Hawaii, Cal Poly UC Davis, UC Irvine, Cal State Fullerton, Hawaii, UC Riverside, Cal State Fullerton, UC San Diego and Long Beach State in succession. That gave the team an 8-22 record in their first 30 games.

On Thursday versus Cal State Northridge the Roadrunners were down by two points 36-34 at the break. Cal State Bakersfield kept the pace the rest of the way on a 50-50 run in the second half but couldn’t make the comeback on an 86-84 loss in their home venue. Both Ronald Jessamy (nine rebounds) and Dailin Smith (two rebounds) each had 23 points in the loss.

Cal Poly Mustangs Betting Preview

Over on the Mustangs’ side, they were sitting at 7-11 through their first 18 games, then lost to Hawaii, UC Santa Barbara, Cal State Fullerton, Cal State Northridge and UC Davis in the next seven. After wins over UC Irvine, UC Santa Barbara, Hawaii and Long Beach State came a loss to UC San Diego, giving the Mustangs a 13-17 record in the books through 30 games.

Matched up against UC Irvine on Thursday the Mustangs already had a double-digit deficit by the time the first half ended, trailing 52-42 on the scoreboard. Cal Poly got worse from there on a 55-43 deficit and lost the game in the end 107-85. Tops in scoring was Cayden Ward with 16 points and six rebounds while Hamad Mousa added 15 points with eight boards in 32 minutes.

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners @ Cal Poly Mustangs Betting Trends: March 7, 2026

Why the Cal Poly Mustangs will win

• Cal State Bakersfield has lost each of its last 14 games against Conference opponents.
• Cal Poly has won each of its last three games against Cal State Bakersfield.
• Cal Poly has won the first half in five of its last six games against Cal State Bakersfield.

Why the Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners will win

• Cal Poly has lost 30 of its last 37 day games against the Big West Conference.
• The road team has won three of the last four games between Cal State Bakersfield and Cal Poly.

CSU Bakersfield vs Cal Poly Prediction

I’ll lean toward Cal Poly. The Mustangs are coming off a pretty rough road loss to a good UC Irvine team, though. In that one Cal Poly shot just 38.7 percent from the field while giving up 56.3 percent on the other side. The Mustangs added 12 turnovers for 17 Anteaters points and a 64-38 deficit on points in the paint. Cal Poly is still 4-2 in the last six games, but they really need a good effort here.

These teams last saw each other back on January 29 in a 104-79 road victory for the Mustangs. In that one Cal Poly shot a very nice 55.4 percent from the field and drained a perfect 20-of-20 from the line. The Mustangs added a 35-24 rebounding edge and a 48-34 advantage on points in the paint but did have 18 turnovers. Provided the Mustangs can clean up the miscues a bit they should be fine in the rematch.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Cal Poly Mustangs -9.5