Colorado vs TCU Prediction 3/11/25 College Basketball Picks

The Colorado Buffaloes are facing the TCU Horned Frogs on Tuesday, March 11th at the T-Mobile Center, in this Big 12 first-round matchup between the 9th seed and the 16th seed of the conference. The winner of this single-elimination game will face North Carolina in the second round on Wednesday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Colorado Buffaloes vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction. We will examine:

The TCU Horned Frogs’ recent form and player performance

The Colorado Buffaloes’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the TCU Horned Frogs

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Colorado Buffaloes

Recent betting trends in games played between the Colorado Buffaloes and TCU Horned Frogs

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Colorado Buffaloes vs TCU Horned Frogs game

TCU Horned Frogs Preview

The TCU Horned Frogs finished the regular season with a 16-15 record and were placed 9th in the Big 12. TCU is coming off a 57-76 loss to Colorado. The Horned Frogs are 12-19 against the spread, and 10-20-1 in over/under.

Offensively, TCU is averaging 67.6 points per game, which ranks 326th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 68.7 points per game (79th). The Horned Frogs shoot 41.7% from the field (329th) and 29.9% from beyond the arc (347th). The Horned Frogs shoot 65.2% from the free-throw line (354th) and are grabbing 34.5 rebounds per game (221st).

Noah Reynolds leads TCU in scoring with an average of 12.3 points and 3 assists, while Vesean Allette adds 11.5 points, 4.1 rebounds, and a team-high 3.6 assists per game.

Colorado Buffaloes Preview

The Colorado Buffaloes finished the regular season with a 12-19 record and were placed 16th in the Big 12. Colorado is coming off a 76-56 win over TCU. The Buffaloes are 14-17 against the spread and 13-17-1 in over/under.

Offensively, Colorado is averaging 70.1 points per game, which ranks 282nd in the nation. Defensively, they are allowing 71.8 points per game (179th). The Buffaloes shoot 44.8% from the field (176th) and 32% from beyond the arc (290th). The Buffaloes shoot 74.9% from the free throw line (77th) and are grabbing 35.3 rebounds per game (178th).

Julian Hammond leads Colorado scoring this season, with an average of 12.6 points and a team-high 3.1 assists, while Andrej Jakimovksi adds 9.7 points and 4.8 rebounds per game.

Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win

• Colorado has lost 18 of its last 21 games against the Big 12 Conference.
• TCU has won three of its last four day games at T-Mobile Center.
• Colorado has lost the first half in 15 of its last 17 games against the Big 12 Conference.

Why the Colorado Buffaloes will win

• TCU has lost each of its last five games played at neutral venues.
• Colorado has won four of its last five Conference Tournament day games.
• Colorado has won the first half in each of its last five Conference Tournament day games.

Total Points Facts

• Nine of Colorado’s last 10 day games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 142+ points.
• Nine of TCU’s last 10 games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 138+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• TCU ranks 36th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (15.6).
• TCU ranks T47th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (11.5).
• Colorado ranks 355th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (18.8%).

Colorado Buffaloes vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction

Both teams are tied 1-1 wins this season, with each one winning at home. TCU won by 68-57, and Colorado by 76-56, as each team covered the spread, and both games went under the point total.

In this Colorado Buffaloes vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction, TCU is coming as -1.5-point favorites. TCU has a better record this season and has been better than Colorado away from home, as they have two road wins this season, while Colorado has been winless in their nine games away from home. TCU is 1-4 in their last 5 games and 2-3 against the spread, while Colorado is 3-7 in their last 10 games and 2-2 against the spread. Both teams have been playing some lower-scoring games lately, going for 6-2 to the under in their last 8 games combined, and both of their meetings this season also went under the total. In this single elimination game, I expect another low-scoring grind, so give me the under.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 134.5