Jan 6, 2026; Stillwater, Oklahoma, USA; Oklahoma State Cowboys guard Kanye Clary (1) passes the ball around UCF Knights guard Themus Fulks (1) during the first half at Gallagher-Iba Arena. Mandatory Credit: William Purnell-Imagn Images
William Purnell-Imagn Images

Cincinnati vs UCF Prediction 1/11/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Cincinnati Bearcats UCF Golden Knights
Team Records 8-7 12-2
Spread +3.5 -115 -3.5 -105
Moneyline +142 -170
Total Over 151.5 (-110) Under 151.5 (-110)
Where Addition Financial Arena, Orlando, FL
When Sunday, January 11, 2026
Time 05:00 PM EST
TV ESPN2

In this article we will formulate a Cincinnati vs UCF prediction for this College Basketball game on Sunday, January 11th at Addition Financial Arena in Orlando, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Bearcats are 8-7 (0-2) this season after they lost to West Virginia by a score of 62-60 in their last game. Cincinnati trailed 31-28 at halftime, but did win the second half 32-31 in the close loss. The Bearcats shot 35% from the field, 34% on three pointers, and 44% on free throws in the game. Jalen Celestine led Cincinnati with 15 points and five rebounds, while Day Day Thomas added nine points and five assists in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Cincinnati lost to Houston by a score of 67-60, but did beat Lipscomb by a score of 89-62 before that. The Bearcats have scored 73.7 points per game with 39.0 rebounds and 17.3 assists per game, while they have allowed 65.3 points against per game this season. Day Day Thomas is averaging 12.7 points and 3.9 assists per game, while Baba Miller is averaging 12.7 points and 10.9 rebounds per game for the Bearcats. Cincinnati is shooting 42.2% from the field, 63.8% on free throws, and 31.8% on three pointers this season. 

UCF Knights Betting Preview

The UCF Knights are 12-2 (1-1) this year after they lost to Oklahoma State by a score of 87-76 in their last game. UCF trailed 41-32 at halftime and they allowed 46 points in the second half in the loss. The Knights shot 38% from the field, 21% on three pointers, and 65% on free throws in the game. Riley Kugel led UCF with 15 points and four rebounds, while Themus Fulks added 13 points and four assists in the loss. 

Prior to that game, UCF defeated Kansas by a score of 81-75 and FAU by a score of 85-80. The Knights have scored 86.9 points per game with 40.3 rebounds and 16.6 assists per game, while they have allowed 75.8 points against per game this season. Riley Kugel is averaging 14.1 points and 3.0 rebounds per game, while Themus Fulks is averaging 13.5 points and 6.6 assists per game for the Knights. UCF is shooting 48.2% from the field, 72.9% on free throws, and 37.2% on three pointers this year. 

Why the UCF Knights will win

  • UCF has won each of its last seven games at Addition Financial Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Cincinnati has lost each of its last six games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • Cincinnati has lost the first half in each of its last three games against teams with an AP Ranking of 25.

Why the Cincinnati Bearcats will win

  • Cincinnati has won four of its last five day games against UCF.
  • UCF has lost the first half in six of its last eight games against the Big 12 Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Cincinnati’s last 15 games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 151 or fewer points.
  • Eight of UCF’s last nine games against the Big 12 Conference have produced a total of 153+ points.

Cincinnati vs UCF Prediction 

UCF is coming off of a loss to Oklahoma State in their last game, but they are currently ranked #25 and they will be at home. The Knights are shooting 48% from the field and they have scored at least 81 points in four of their last five. Cincinnati has dropped three of their last four and they have scored 65 points or fewer in all three of those losses. The Bearcats are shooting 42% from the field, but will face a bad UCF defense here. I think UCF will get the win, but I think we are going to see plenty of points, as UCF loves to speed the game up. Take the over in this one.

David Racey's Pick: Over 151.5

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