Nov 3, 2025; Knoxville, Tennessee, USA;  Mercer Bears guard Tristan Gross (10) moves the ball against Tennessee Volunteers forward J.P. Estrella (13) during the second half at Thompson-Boling Arena at Food City Center. Mandatory Credit: Randy Sartin-Imagn Images
Randy Sartin-Imagn Images

Chattanooga vs Mercer Prediction 2/19/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Chattanooga Mocs Mercer Bears
Team Records 10-17 17-10
Where Hawkins Arena, Macon, GA
When Thursday, February 19, 2026
Time 07:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

In this article, we will formulate a Chattanooga vs Mercer Prediction for this college basketball game on Thursday, February 19th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Mercer Bears Preview


The Mercer Bears have a 17-10 overall record and a 9-5 record in the SoCon. They are coming off a 70-54 road win against The Citadel and their previous three games were a 69-64 home win against Furman, a 69-49 road loss against Samford and a 79-75 road loss against Chattanooga.

Offensively, Mercer averages 82.9 points per game, while allowing 74.3 points per game defensively. The Bears shoot with 45% from the field and grab 39.2 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.3 assists per game. They average 3.6 blocks per game and 8.3 steals per game defensively.

Baraka Okojie leads Mercer in scoring, with an average of 19.4 points per game, while shooting with 42.3% from the field and 82.5% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 5.5 assists. Armani Mighty is the team’s leading rebounder with 10.5 per game.

Chattanooga Mocs Preview


The Chattanooga Mocs have a 10-17 overall record and a 4-10 record in the SoCon. They are coming off an 81-76 home loss against Western Carolina and their previous three games were a 73-61 road loss against ETSU, a 78-71 home loss against The Citadel and a 79-75 home win against Mercer.

Offensively, Chattanooga averages 74.7 points per game, while allowing 73.9 points per game defensively. The Mocs shoot with 45% from the field and grab 32.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.1 assists per game. They average 2.7 blocks per game and 5.7 steals per game defensively.

Jordan Frison leads Chattanooga in scoring, with an average of 15.1 points per game, while shooting with 52.9% from the field and 83.3% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 3.9 assists. Tate Darner is the team’s leading rebounder with 4.3 per game.

Chattanooga Mocs @ Mercer Bears Betting Trends: February 19, 2026


Why the Mercer Bears will win

  • Mercer has won each of its last 13 games at Hawkins Arena.
  • Chattanooga has lost seven of its last eight games.
  • Chattanooga has lost the first half in each of its last six games.

Why the Chattanooga Mocs will win

  • Chattanooga has won nine of its last 10 games against Mercer.
  • Chattanooga has won the first half in four of its last five night games at Hawkins Arena.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Chattanooga’s last six road night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
  • Six of Mercer’s last seven home games have produced a total of 164+ points.

Chattanooga vs Mercer Prediction


In this Chattanooga vs Mercer Prediction, Mercer is coming as -10.5 home favorites. Mercer has been the better team this season and have been in very good form lately with a 7-3 record in its last 10 games. They have also been excellent against the spread with a 18-6 ATS record this season and have been undefeated at home. On the flip side, Chattanooga has been terrible lately, with a 1-7 record in its last 8 games and 2-5 against the spread, while having an inferior offense than Mercer. Take Mercer to win and cover this one at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Mercer -10.5

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