Dec 17, 2025; Stanford, California, USA; Texas-Arlington Mavericks guard Marcell McCreary (42) shoots over Stanford Cardinal guard Ryan Agarwal (11) in the first half at Maples Pavilion. Mandatory Credit: David Gonzales-Imagn Images
David Gonzales-Imagn Images

California Baptist vs UT Arlington Prediction 1/1/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP California Baptist Lancers UT Arlington Mavericks
Team Records 10-4 8-5
Spread -2.5 -105 +2.5 -115
Moneyline -135 +114
Total Over 135.5 (-108) Under 135.5 (-112)
Where College Park Center, Arlington, TX
When Thursday, January 1, 2026
Time 03:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

In this article we will formulate a California Baptist vs UT Arlington prediction for this College Basketball game on Thursday, January 1st at the College Park Center in Arlington, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

California Baptist Lancers Betting Preview

The California Baptist Lancers are 10-4 (0-1) this year after they lost to Utah Valley by a score of 73-66 in their last game. California Baptist led 39-33 at halftime, but they were outscored 40-27 in the second half for the loss. The Lancers shot 51% from the field, 25% on three pointers, and 85% on free throws in the game. Dominique Daniels Jr led Cal Baptist with 17 points and three rebounds, while Jonathan Griman added 12 points and seven rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, California Baptist defeated Sacramento State by a score of 74-67 and Southern by a score of 75-67. The Lancers have scored 74.7 points per game with 40.9 rebounds and 11.7 assists per game, while they have allowed 70.8 points against per game this season. Dominique Daniels Jr is averaging 20.5 points and 4.2 rebounds per game, while Martel Williams is averaging 14.9 points and 4.9 rebounds per game for the Lancers. Cal Baptist is shooting 43.7% from the field, 72.9% on free throws, and 31.3% on three pointers this year. 

UT Arlington Mavericks Betting Preview

The UT Arlington Mavericks are 8-5 (0-1) this season after they lost to Tarleton State by a score of 69-63 in their last game. UT Arlington trailed 35-30 at halftime and they were outscored 34-33 in the second half in the close loss. The Mavericks shot 42% from the field, 31% on three pointers, and 71% on free throws in the game. Marcell McCreary led UTA with 12 points and six rebounds, while Raysean Seamster added 11 points and eight rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, UT Arlington defeated Oral Roberts by a score of 69-57, but lost to Stanford by a score of 76-60 before that. The Mavericks have scored 71.9 points per game with 38.5 rebounds and 13.5 assists per game, while they have allowed 64.6 points against per game this season. Raysean Seamster is averaging 14.1 points and 6.8 rebounds per game, while Marcell McCreary is averaging 12.5 points and 4.8 rebounds per game for the Mavericks. UT Arlington is shooting 46.2% from the field, 68.4% on free throws, and 29.4% on three pointers this season. 

Why the UT Arlington Mavericks will win

  • UT Arlington Mavericks has won each of its last five games at College Park Center following a home loss.
  • California Baptist has lost each of its last four road day games against the Western Athletic Conference.

Why the California Baptist Lancers will win

  • UT Arlington Mavericks has lost each of its last five games against the Western Athletic Conference.
  • California Baptist has won three of its last four games.
  • California Baptist has won the first half in each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of California Baptist’s last eight games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 137+ points.
  • Six of UT Arlington Mavericks’ last seven games against non-AP-ranked opponents at College Park Center have produced a total of 132 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • UT Arlington Mavericks ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (16.6).
  • UT Arlington Mavericks ranks T14th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (21.9).
  • California Baptist ranks 34th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (10.9).
  • California Baptist ranks 34th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (19.5).

California Baptist vs UT Arlington Prediction 

UT Arlington has alternated wins and losses over their last five games, but they will be at home for this matchup and they are looking for their first conference win. The Mavericks are shooting 46% from the field and they are a very solid defensive team. Cal Baptist has won three of their last four games and they are shooting 44% from the field. The Lancers have allowed over 70 points against per game on defense, but they have scored at least 74 points in four straight. I think Cal Baptist is the much better team in this game and I like them to get the road win.

David Racey's Pick: Cal Baptist ML

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