California Baptist vs Tarleton Prediction 1/3/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a California Baptist vs Tarleton State Prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, January 3rd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Tarleton State Texans Preview

Tarleton State Texans have a 10-5 record this season and are tied for 3rd place in the WAC. They have a 7-1 home record and are coming off a 91-85 home loss against Utah Valley. Their previous three games were a 69-63 away win against UT Arlington, a 78-54 home win against Florida A&M and an 88-64 away win against Mississippi Valley State.

Offensively, Tarleton State averages 80.1 points per game, while allowing 71.7 points per game defensively. The Texans shoot with 47% from the field and grab 34.6 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.1 assists per game. They average 2.9 blocks per game and 11.3 steals per game defensively.

Dior Johnson leads Tarleton State in scoring, with an average of 22.1 points per game, while shooting with 57.9% from the field and 83.9% from the free throw line. Freddy Hicks is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.6 per game, while Freddy Hicks adds a team-high 2.8 assists per game.

California Baptist Lancers Preview

California Baptist Lancers have a 10-5 record this season and are in 7th place in the WAC. They have a 3-3 away record and are coming off a 63-51 away loss against UT Arlington. Their previous three games were a 73-66 away loss against Utah Valley, a 74-67 home win against Sacramento State and a 75-67 home win against Southern.

Offensively, California Baptist averages 73.1 points per game, while allowing 70.3 points per game defensively. The Lancers shoot with 44% from the field and grab 40.2 rebounds per game, while dishing out 11.2 assists per game. They average 2.2 blocks per game and 5.8 steals per game defensively.

Dominique Daniels Jr. leads California Baptist in scoring, with an average of 20.8 points per game, while shooting with 43.7% from the field and 89.2% from the free throw line. Thomas Ndong is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.8 per game, while Dominique Daniels Jr. also leads the team with 3.4 assists per game.

California Baptist Lancers @ Tarleton State Texans Betting Trends: January 3, 2026

Why the Tarleton State Texans will win

• Tarleton State has won seven of its last eight home games.
• California Baptist has lost each of its last five road day games against Conference opponents.
• Tarleton State has won the first half in each of its last four home day games against Conference opponents.

Why the California Baptist Lancers will win

• Tarleton State has lost four of its last five games against Conference opponents.
• The road team has won three of Tarleton State’s last four games.
• California Baptist has won the first half in four of its last five games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of California Baptist’s last nine games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.
• Nine of Tarleton State’s last 10 games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 137 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Tarleton State ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (19.3).
• Tarleton State ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (16.0).
• California Baptist ranks T22nd among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (6.0).
• California Baptist ranks 24th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (56.3%).

California Baptist vs Tarleton State Prediction

In this California Baptist vs Tarleton State Prediction, Tarleton State is coming as -2.5 home favorites. Both teams have been excellent this season and have identical overall records, but Tarleton State has been almost perfect at home, while Cal Baptist has been mediocre on the road. Tarleton State has been excellent against the spread this season with a 9-2 record and have a superior offense, scoring 7 points per game more than Cal Baptist and having a +8.4 point differential this season. The value here lies with the home team, so take Tarleton State and lay the short number at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Tarleton State -2.5