Cal Poly vs Northern Arizona Prediction 11/24/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Cal Poly Mustangs and the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks meet Monday in college basketball action from the J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks prediction.

Cal Poly Mustangs Recap

The Cal Poly Mustangs come into this game looking to add on to their 92-85 win over Utah last time out to improve to 3-3 this season. After this game, Cal Poly will take on Southeast Missouri State.

Mustangs Snap Two-Game Slide With Outright W

Hamad Mousa leads the Mustangs in scoring with 19.4 PPG and 6 RPG while Cayden Ward has 16.7 PPG with 5.5 RPG and Peter Bandelj has 14.8 PPG with 3.4 RPG and a team-high 3.4 APG to lead the Mustangs in assists and to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Cal Poly so far this season. Guzman Vasilic has 7.7 PPG with 2.8 RPG and Jake Davis has 7.7 PPG with 4.2 RPG and 2.3 APG while Ali Assran has a team-high 6.3 RPG as well this season. As a team, Cal Poly is averaging 81.8 PPG on 42.5% shooting from the field, 35.7% from three and 67.6% from the foul line so far this season.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Recap

The Northern Arizona Lumberjacks come into this game looking to add on to their 108-79 win over subdivision Embry-Riddle to improve to 2-2 this season. After this game, Northern Arizona will duke it out with Southeast Missouri State.

Lumberjacks Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight To Start Year

Zack Davidson leads the Lumberjacks in scoring with 18.3 PPG along with 6.7 RPG to lead the Lumberjacks in scoring as the lone double-digit scorer for Northern Arizona so far this season while Karl Poom has 9.8 PPG with 3.8 RPG and Arne Osojnik has 9.5 PPG with 3.5 RPG and a team-high 2.8 APG to lead the Lumberjacks in assists. Traivar Jackson has 9.3 PPG with 6.8 RPG to lead Northern Arizona in rebounding while Isaiah Shaw has 9 PPG with 3 RPG and Ryan Abelman has 9 PPG with 6 RPG and 2.5 APG this season. As a team, Northern Arizona is averaging 78.8 PPG on 45.8% shooting from the field, 37% from three and 61.4% from the foul line this season. 

Cal Poly Mustangs @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Betting Trends: November 24, 2025

Why the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks will win

• Northern Arizona has won each of its last nine games at Joseph C. Rolle Activity Center.
• Cal Poly has lost each of its last four night games against the Big Sky Conference.
• Northern Arizona has won the first half in each of its last nine games at Joseph C. Rolle Activity Center.

Why the Cal Poly Mustangs will win

• Northern Arizona has lost each of its last four home games following a home win.
• Northern Arizona has lost the first half in each of its last 12 Monday night games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Northern Arizona’s last 15 night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 159 or fewer points.
• Sixty-nine of Cal Poly’s last 80 games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 161 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Northern Arizona ranks T38th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (66.0).
• Northern Arizona ranks T44th among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (10.0).
• Cal Poly ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (79.4).
• Cal Poly ranks 359th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (19.2).

Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Prediction

I’m on Cal Poly here. I do worry that it comes up as a potential letdown spot for Cal Poly following the win over Utah, but the Mustangs I think are a legit team that no one is really paying attention to, and I think it’s telling that they’re favored on the road here. Northern Arizona has covered against Drake and Arizona this season, but it was still a 35-point loss to Arizona catching 36 in a game that the Wildcats couldn’t have cared less about. I think Cal Poly is taking this seriously this season and I think they get the win and cover here. Give me Cal Poly.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Cal Poly -2.5