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Buffalo vs Massachusetts Prediction 2/21/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Buffalo Bulls | Massachusetts Minutemen |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 15-11 | 15-12 |
| Where | Mullins Center, Amherst, MA | |
| When | Saturday, February 21, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Massachusetts Minutemen Preview
The Massachusetts Minutemen have a 15-12 overall record and a 6-8 record in the MAC. They are coming off an 86-77 home loss against Miami (OH) and their previous three games were a 99-92 road loss against Akron, a 94-91 road loss against Coastal Carolina and a 95-89 home win against Central Michigan.
Offensively, Massachusetts averages 81 points per game, while allowing 77 points per game defensively. The Minutemen shoot with 47% from the field and grab 37.5 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.5 assists per game. They average 2.2 blocks per game and 6.9 steals per game defensively.
Leonardo Bettiol leads Massachusetts in scoring, with an average of 17.6 points per game, while shooting with 59.8% from the field and 70.9% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 7.7 rebounds. Danny Carbuccia leads the team in assists with 6.5 per game.
Buffalo Bulls Preview
The Buffalo Bulls have a 15-11 overall record and a 5-8 record in the MAC. They are coming off a 72-70 home loss against Northern Illinois and their previous three games were a 63-53 road win against Ball State, an 81-69 road loss against South Alabama and a 73-71 home loss against Miami (OH).
Offensively, Buffalo averages 78.6 points per game, while allowing 74.7 points per game defensively. The Bulls shoot with 48% from the field and grab 32.4 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.8 assists per game. They average 2.6 blocks per game and 7.5 steals per game defensively.
Daniel Freitag leads Buffalo in scoring, with an average of 20 points per game, while shooting with 42.6% from the field and 81.8% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 3.9 assists. Noah Batchelor is the team’s leading rebounder with 4.7 per game.
Buffalo Bulls @ Massachusetts Minutemen Betting Trends: February 21, 2026
Why the Massachusetts Minutemen will win
- Massachusetts has won each of its last six night games at William D. Mullins Memorial Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Buffalo has lost 25 of its last 30 night games against Conference opponents.
- Massachusetts has won the first half in five of its last six night games at William D. Mullins Memorial Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Buffalo Bulls will win
- The road team has won seven of Buffalo’s last eight games.
- Massachusetts has lost each of its last three games.
- Buffalo has won the first half in each of its last six road games against Conference opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- Massachusetts ranks 27th among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (17.5).
- Massachusetts ranks 48th among Division 1 teams for field goals made per game this season (28.9).
- Buffalo ranks 26th among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (60.5%).
- Buffalo ranks 29th among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (56.3%).
Buffalo vs Massachusetts Prediction
In this Buffalo vs Massachusetts Prediction, Massachusetts is coming as -7.5 home favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records this season and are both coming into this matchup in poor form, as Massachusetts has lost three straight and Buffalo is 2-8 in its last 10 games. Buffalo has been better against the spread and is 8-3 ATS on the road, while Massachusetts is 4-9 ATS at home and Buffalo also has a better defense so far, so I like them as road dogs in this spot. Take Buffalo and get the +7.5 points.
