Boston College vs SMU Prediction 2/21/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Boston College Eagles and the SMU Mustangs meet Saturday in college basketball action from SMU Moody Coliseum in University Park. Here’s a Boston College vs SMU prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Boston College vs SMU pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Boston College Eagles Betting Preview

The Eagles were sitting at 7-6 on the season through their first 13 games, but they haven’t been above the .500 mark since then. Boston College lost four straight games after that then beat Syracuse and Pittsburgh. The next six were all losses versus Notre Dame, Virginia, Duke, Miami, Stanford and California. Over the first 25 games that gave the Eagles a 9-16 record in the books.

In the Tuesday matchup with Florida State, the Eagles jumped out to a 10-point lead 42-32 by the end of the first half. Boston College was outscored 48-30 the rest of the way however, leading to an 80-72 loss in the end. Tops in scoring was Fred Payne with 22 points and two rebounds, while Luka Toews had 14 points with eight assists and five rebounds in 36 minutes.

SMU Mustangs Betting Preview

Over on the SMU side, they only lost to Vanderbilt and LSU over their first 14 outings this year. Losses to Clemson, Duke and Virginia came in the next four, then a 2-2 run that had losses to Louisville and NC State among wins over Wake Forest and Florida State. After wins over Pitt and Notre Dame before a loss to Syracuse, the Mustangs were 17-8 in their first 25 outings.

Matched up against Louisville on Tuesday the Mustangs jumped out to a 52-49 advantage by the break. SMU finished off the game with a 43-36 run in the second half and cruised to the double-digit win on their home court 95-85 in the end. Leading the team in scoring was Jaron Pierre with 25 points and seven boards. Kevin Miller added 23 points with nine assists and four rebounds.

Boston College Eagles @ SMU Mustangs Betting Trends: February 21, 2026

Why the SMU Mustangs will win

• Boston College has lost each of its last nine road day games against the Atlantic Coast Conference.
• SMU has won 12 of its last 13 games at Moody Coliseum (Dallas) against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Boston College has lost the first half in eight of its last nine road day games against the Atlantic Coast Conference.

Why the Boston College Eagles will win

• SMU has lost each of its last three day games following a home win.

Boston College vs SMU Prediction

I’ll lean toward SMU. The Mustangs were able to keep Louisville at bay in a home win this week, hitting a very nice 58.5 percent from the field with 83.3 percent (10-of-12) at the line. SMU did get out-rebounded 36-28 but had a 46-30 advantage on points in the paint. The Mustangs have won three of their last four games now, scoring 86 or more points in all three of those victories.

As for Boston College, they weren’t able to keep pace with a good Florida State team this week, despite shooting a pretty solid 46 percent from the field and 45.8 percent (11-of-24) from 3-point range. The 23.1 percent (3-of-13) at the line really hurt, as did the 38-28 rebounding deficit. Boston College has lost seven straight games, and they’ve given up 70 or more points in four straight.

Andrew Jett's Pick: SMU Mustangs -16.5