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Baylor vs TCU Prediction 3/4/25 College Basketball Picks
Pick details
TCU (16-13) vs Baylor (17-12)
March 4, 2025 at 08:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: TCU +3.5 — Over/Under: 139.5
The Baylor Bears and TCU Horned Frogs meet Tuesday in college basketball action at the Schollmaier Arena. Here’s a Baylor vs TCU Prediction. This article will include a Baylor vs TCU Pick.
Baylor Bears Betting Preview
The Baylor Bears lost to Cincinnati, beat Oklahoma State, and they play Houston next. Baylor looks for two straight wins for the first time since January 22-25.
The Baylor Bears are averaging 77.9 points on 45.2 percent shooting and allowing 69.9 points on 44 percent shooting. Norchad Omier is averaging 15.6 points and 10.4 rebounds, while VJ Edgecombe is averaging 14.8 points and 5.4 rebounds. Robert Wright III is the third double-digit scorer and Jeremy Roach is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Baylor Bears are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 74.1 percent from the free throw line. The Baylor Bears are allowing 35.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.2 rebounds per game.
TCU Horned Frogs Betting Preview
The TCU Horned Frogs lost to West Virginia, beat UCF, and they play Colorado next. It’s senior night for a TCU roster that has five seniors.
The TCU Horned Frogs are averaging 68.3 points on 42.3 percent shooting and allowing 68.7 points on 44.2 percent shooting. Noah Reynolds is averaging 12.2 points and 2.3 rebounds, while Vasean Allette is averaging 11.8 points and 4.1 rebounds. Frankie Collins is the third double-digit scorer and Trazarien White is dishing 0.9 assists. The TCU Horned Frogs are shooting 30.2 percent from beyond the arc and 65.1 percent from the free throw line. The TCU Horned Frogs are allowing 31.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31 rebounds per game.
Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win
- TCU has won each of its last 10 Tuesday night games at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena.
- Baylor has lost each of its last five road games against the Big 12 Conference.
- TCU has won the first half in 20 of its last 23 night games at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Baylor Bears will win
- The road team has won each of the last five games between Baylor and TCU.
Total Points Facts
- Five of TCU’s last six night games against Conference opponents at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena have produced a total of 138 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Baylor ranks 46th among Division 1 teams for points per possession this season (1.15).
Baylor vs TCU Injury Report
TCU doesn’t have a player listed on its injury report. Baylor will continue to be without Josh Ojianwuna and Yanis Ndjonga.
Baylor vs TCU Prediction
This line doesn’t make sense to me, as Baylor hasn’t been great all season and lost to TCU a month and a half ago at home as a 12.5-point favorite. Baylor has won just two of its 11 road games. TCU is playing the better basketball right now and is at home where it won 14 of 16 games. Baylor has recent losses in the favorite role to Colorado and Arizona. Not understand how Baylor is the favorite in this spot, especially with it being the senior night for TCU. I’ll grab the points with TCU while also sprinkling the ML. This doesn’t add up.