Baylor vs TCU Prediction 1/3/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Baylor Bears and the TCU Horned Frogs meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Schollmaier Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Baylor Bears vs. TCU Horned Frogs prediction.

Baylor Bears Recap

The Baylor Bears come into this game looking to add on to their 124-61 win over subdivision Arlington Baptist last time out to improve to 10-2 this season. After this game, Baylor will head home for a game against Iowa State.

Bears Win 4 In A Row

Cameron Carr leads Baylor in scoring with 21.3 PPG along with 5.7 RPG and Tounde Yessoufou has 19.3 PPG with 5.9 RPG while Dan Skillings Jr. has 12.4 PPG with a team-high 7.4 RPG along with 3.3 APG. Obi Agbim has 11.7 PPG with a team-high 3.7 APG to lead the Bears in assists and Isaac Williams IV has 11.7 PPG with 3.3 APG as well this season. Michael Rataj has 10.4 PPG with 6.6 RPG and 3.2 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Baylor. Caden Powell has 6.8 PPG with 8.5 RPG to lead the Bears in rebounding as well on the year. As a team, Baylor is averaging 95.6 PPG on 52.1% shooting from the field, 37.9% from three and 75.5% from the foul line so far this season.

TCU Horned Frogs Recap

The TCU Horned Frogs come into this game looking to add on to their 115-64 win over Jackson State last time out to sit at 10-3 this season. After this game, TCU will head on the road for a game against Kansas.

Horned Frogs Win 5 In A Row

David Punch leads the Horned Frogs in scoring and rebounding with 13.8 PPG and 7.9 RPG while Jayden Pierre has 11 PPG with 2.3 RPG and 2.3 APG and Xavier Edmonds has 10 PPG with 4.2 RPG to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for TCU up to this point in the year. Brock Harding has 9.7 PPG with 2.8 RPG and a team-high 5.7 APG to lead the Horned Frogs in assists while Micah Robinson has 9.1 PPG with 5.1 RPG as well this season. As a team, TCU is averaging 77.4 PPG on 45% shooting from the field, 32.4% from three and 72.6% from the foul line this season. 

Baylor Bears @ TCU Horned Frogs Betting Trends: January 3, 2026

Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win

• The home team has won each of Baylor’s last six games.
• Baylor has lost five of its last six road day games against Conference opponents.
• The home team has won the first half in each of Baylor’s last six games.

Why the Baylor Bears will win

• Baylor has won 14 of its last 15 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• TCU has lost five of its last six games against Conference opponents.
• Baylor has won the first half in 14 of its last 15 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Baylor’s last 10 games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
• Nineteen of TCU’s last 20 games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• TCU ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (64.7).
• TCU ranks T22nd among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (5.3).
• Baylor ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for offensive rating this season (131.3).
• Baylor ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for defensive rating this season (102.9).

Baylor Bears vs. TCU Horned Frogs Prediction

I’m on TCU here. Neither of these teams have played anyone of note as of late, but I think it’s still worth remembering that TCU took Michigan down to the wire in this building earlier this year, the same Michigan team that’s running roughshod through the Big Ten right now. Baylor just hasn’t been overly tested and I think TCU nails them at the Schollmaier Arena here. Give me TCU.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: TCU -1.5