Arkansas State vs SMU Prediction 11/21/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article we will formulate an Arkansas State vs SMU prediction for this College Basketball game on Friday, November 21st at the Moody Coliseum in Dallas, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Preview

The Arkansas State Red Wolves are 3-2 this year after they lost to St. Mary’s by a score of 85-72 in their last game. Arkansas State trailed 47-39 at halftime and only managed 33 points in the second half in the loss. The Red Wolves shot 38% from the field, 31% on three pointers, and 85% on free throws in the game. Christian Harmon led Arkansas State with 21 points and four rebounds, while Matt Hayman added 12 points and six rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Arkansas State defeated a non-D1 team by a score of 95-67 and Missouri State by a score of 86-85. The Red Wolves have scored 81.4 points per game with 37.0 rebounds and 14.2 assists per game, while they have allowed 82.4 points against per game this season. Chandler Jackson is averaging 12.4 points and 4.2 assists per game, while TJ Caldwell is averaging 10.2 points and 3.0 rebounds per game for the Red Wolves. Arkansas State is shooting 44.2% from the field, 79.2% on free throws, and 27.9% on three pointers this year. 

SMU Mustangs Betting Preview

The SMU Mustangs are 5-0 this season after they defeated Arkansas-Pine Bluff by a score of 106-60 in their last game. SMU led 45-26 at halftime and scored 61 points to pull away with the blowout victory. The Mustangs shot 57% from the field, 44% on three pointers, and 77% on free throws in the game. Jaron Pierre Jr led SMU with 23 points and seven rebounds, while Boopie Miller added 15 points and 10 assists in the win. 

Prior to that game, SMU defeated Butler by a score of 87-85 and Murray State by a score of 102-91. The Mustangs have scored 92.0 points per game with 40.2 rebounds and 18.0 assists per game, while they have allowed 74.0 points against per game this season. Boopie Miller is averaging 20.0 points and 7.8 assists per game, while Jaron Pierre Jr is averaging 18.6 points and 5.6 rebounds per game for the Mustangs. SMU is shooting 50.3% from the field, 79.4% on free throws, and 37.8% on three pointers this season. 

Why the SMU Mustangs will win

• SMU has won each of its last nine night games at Moody Coliseum (Dallas) against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Arkansas State has lost 12 of its last 13 Friday night road games against non-Conference opponents.
• Arkansas State has lost the first half in eight of its last nine road night games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Nineteen of SMU’s last 20 night games have produced a total of 173 or fewer points.
• Forty-nine of Arkansas State’s last 53 games have produced a total of 173 or fewer points.

Arkansas State vs SMU Prediction 

SMU comes into this contest with an undefeated record through five games, but they have played a pretty easy schedule. The Mustangs are shooting 50% from the field and they have scored 87+ points in three straight games. Arkansas State is coming off of a 13-point loss to St. Mary’s and they have allowed at least 85 points all four of their D1 games this year. We have seen plenty of offense from both of these teams, while the Arkansas State defense is a mess. Take the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 173.5