Arkansas State vs Missouri State Prediction 11/11/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Arkansas State vs Missouri State Prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, November 11th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Missouri State Bears Preview

Missouri State has a 2-0 record this season. They are 2-0 ATS, 0-2 in Over/Under and have a 2-0 home record and a 0-0 away record. Missouri State is coming off a 94-68 home win against Missouri S&T and will face Oral Roberts, Tulsa and South Dakota State next.

Offensively, Missouri State averages 97.0 points per game, which ranks 37th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 63.5 points per game (84th). The Bears shoot with 50.3% from the field (76th), and with 26.8% from beyond the arc (200th). They shoot with 68.9% from the free throw line (301st), and grab 52.5 rebounds per game (11th), while dishing out 23 assists per game (12th) and committing 10 turnovers per game (65th).

Keith Palek III leads Missouri State in scoring, with an average of 20.5 points, 6.5 rebounds and 6 assists. Darrion Sutton follows with 13.5 points and 9.5 rebounds per game, while Kobi Williams adds 13 points per game.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Preview

Arkansas State has a 1-1 record this season. They are 1-1 ATS, 1-1 in Over/Under and have a 1-0 home record and a 0-1 away record. Arkansas State is coming off an 85-79 home win against Central Arkansas and will face Little Rock, Missouri and Bowling Green next.

Offensively, Arkansas State averages 77.0 points per game, which ranks 227th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 87.5 points per game (320th). The Red Wolves shoot with 40.0% from the field (303rd), and with 27.8% from beyond the arc (226th). They shoot with 83.6% from the free throw line (18th), and grab 35.5 rebounds per game (252nd), while dishing out 11.5 assists per game (294th) and committing 16 turnovers per game (306th).

Joey Chammaa leads Arkansas State in scoring, with an average of 19 points. Chandler Jackson follows with 11.5 points and 4.5 rebounds per game, while Jaxon Ellingsworth adds 9 points and 6 rebounds per game.

Arkansas State Red Wolves @ Missouri State Bears Betting Trends: November 11, 2025

Why the Missouri State Bears will win

• Missouri State has won each of its last eight games against non-Conference opponents at Great Southern Bank Arena.
• Arkansas State has lost 12 of its last 14 road night games against non-Conference opponents.
• Missouri State has won the first half in seven of its last eight games against non-Conference opponents at Great Southern Bank Arena.

Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win

• Missouri State has lost 18 of its last 22 games.
• Missouri State has lost the first half in five of its last six games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Missouri State’s last six night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
• Each of Arkansas State’s last four games against the Conference USA Conference have produced a total of 146 or fewer points.

Arkansas State vs Missouri State Prediction

In this Arkansas State vs Missouri State Prediction, Missouri State is coming as -2 home favorites. Both teams are coming off wins in their previous matches, as Missouri State has won both of its games played and are playing their third straight at home, while Arkansas State is coming off their first win of the season but they are back on the road, where they have lost their only game. The Bears are superior both offensively and defensively so far and have been dominating the Wolves historically, as they are 6-1 in their last 7 meetings. Take Missouri State to get the job done and cover the small spread at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Missouri State -2