Arizona State vs Baylor Prediction 2/21/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Arizona State Sun Devils and the Baylor Bears meet Saturday in college basketball action from Foster Pavilion in Waco. Here’s an Arizona State vs Baylor prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Arizona State vs Baylor pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Preview

In their first 16 games this year, Arizona State managed a 10-6 run (with a four-game losing streak). The Sun Devils then went 1-5 with losses versus Arizona, Houston, West Virginia, Central Florida and Arizona again. After that came a 2-1 run with wins over Utah and Oklahoma State around a loss to Colorado. That would make for a 13-12 record in the first 25 games.

In the Texas Tech matchup on Tuesday the Sun Devils were able to power out a 37-36 lead by the start of the second half. Arizona State kept it up on a 35-31 run the rest of the way, finishing on a nice victory on their home court 72-67. Moe Odum put up 23 points with three assists and two rebounds, while Massamba Diop had 14 points with five rebounds and two assists.

Baylor Bears Betting Preview

Over on the Baylor side, they hit a 10-2 run in their first dozen games out of the gate, then lost to TCU, Iowa State, Houston, Kansas, Texas Tech, TCU and Cincinnati during a 1-7 stretch over the next eight. After wins over West Virginia and Colorado came losses to Iowa State, BYU and Louisville. In the first 25 outings this year that would give the Bears a 13-12 record as well.

In game 26 on Tuesday versus Kansas State the Bears were trailing 41-34 by the start of the second half. Baylor didn’t end up getting any closer than that on a 49-40 run the rest of the way. The final result was a 90-74 loss on the road. Topping the team in scoring was Isaac Williams with 16 points and six assists. Tonde Yessoufou added 14 points with seven boards in the defeat.

Arizona State Sun Devils @ Baylor Bears Betting Trends: February 21, 2026

Why the Baylor Bears will win

• Baylor has won each of its last four day games at Foster Pavilion following a road loss.
• Arizona State has lost four of its last five road day games against Conference opponents.

Why the Arizona State Sun Devils will win

• Baylor has lost six of its last seven games against Conference opponents at Foster Pavilion.
• Arizona State has won three of its last four games against Conference opponents.

Arizona State vs Baylor Prediction

I’ll lean toward Arizona State. The Sun Devils put up a great win at home versus a very good Texas Tech team this week, shooting 44.1 percent from the field with a 32-30 edge on points in the paint and just nine turnovers. Arizona State added 14 team assists and had a pretty competitive day on the boards. The Sun Devils have won consecutive games now, and three of their last four. Arizona State has 70 or more points in all four of those matchups as well.

As for Baylor, they shot just 40 percent from the field in the loss to Kansas State. The Bears added 56.7 percent shooting allowed on defense and a whopping 19 turnovers in a sloppy overall game (the Wildcats had 18 turnovers). That makes four straight losses for the Bears (granted, against tough teams), with 82 or more points surrendered in three straight.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Arizona State Sun Devils +5.5