Ace Valentine defended by Bryant's RAFAEL
PINZON
David DelPoio/Providence Journal / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Albany vs UMBC Prediction 2/21/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Albany Great Danes UMBC Retrievers
Team Records 17-8
Where Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena, Baltimore, MD
When Saturday, February 21, 2026
Time 01:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

The Albany Great Danes and UMBC Retrievers meet Saturday in college basketball action at the Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena. Here’s a Albany vs UMBC Prediction. This article will include a Albany vs UMBC Pick.

Albany Great Danes Betting Preview

The Albany Great Danes beat Binghamton and NJIT, and they play Maine next. Albany has lost 5 of its last 8 games.

The Albany Great Danes are averaging 75.7 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 76.4 points on 44.9 percent shooting. Amir Lindsey is averaging 17.4 points and 3 rebounds, while Okechukwu Okeke is averaging 10.3 points and 0.9 assist. Jaden Kempson is the third double-digit scorer and Zacharie Matulu is grabbing 5.9 rebounds. The Albany Great Danes are shooting 33.2 percent from beyond the arc and 66.3 percent from the free throw line. The Albany Great Danes are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.6 rebounds per game.

UMBC Retrievers Betting Preview

The UMBC Retrievers beat New Hampshire and Vermont, and they play Bryant next. UMBC has won 5 straight games.

The UMBC Retrievers are averaging 78.3 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 71.5 points on 43 percent shooting. Jah’likai King is averaging 14.1 points and 3.7 rebounds, while DJ Armstrong Jr. is averaging 13.2 points and 2.9 rebounds. Ace Valentine is the third double-digit scorer and Caden Diggs is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The UMBC Retrievers are shooting 35.2 percent from beyond the arc and 74.9 percent from the free throw line. The UMBC Retrievers are allowing 31.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.7 rebounds per game.

Why the UMBC Retrievers will win

  • UMBC has won each of its last six home games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • UAlbany has lost three of its last four day games following a road win.
  • UAlbany has lost the first half in three of its last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the UAlbany Great Danes will win

  • The road team has won four of the last five games between UAlbany and UMBC.

Total Points Facts

  • Thirteen of UAlbany’s last 14 road day games against the America East Conference have produced a total of 145+ points.
  • Six of UMBC’s last seven games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.

Albany vs UMBC Prediction

Albany has had issues stepping up in competition and has failed to cover 6 of its last 8 games. UMBC looks like the team to beat in the American East and is 8-2 SU and ATS in its last 10 games. UMBC has covered 5 straight games, and that includes a recent upset over Vermont. UMBC is locked in defensively and is peaking at the right time with March right around the corner. I’m not stepping in front of the Retrievers. Give me UMBC in a nice home victory.

Randy Chambers's Pick: UMBC -6.5

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