Feb 18, 2026; Tuscaloosa, AL, USA; Arkansas forward Trevon Brazile (7) and Alabama forward Aiden Sherrell (22) fight for a loose ball at Coleman Coliseum. Alabama defeated Arkansas 117-115 in double overtime. Mandatory Credit: Gary Cosby Jr.-Tuscaloosa News
Gary Cosby Jr.-Tuscaloosa News / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Alabama vs LSU Prediction 2/21/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Alabama Crimson Tide LSU Tigers
Team Records 19-7 14-12
Spread -7.5 -110 +7.5 -110
Moneyline -360 +285
Total Over 171.5 (-115) Under 171.5 (-105)
Where Pete Maravich Assembly Center, Baton Rouge, LA
When Saturday, February 21, 2026
Time 06:00 PM EST
TV SEC Network

In this article we will formulate an Alabama vs LSU prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, February 21st at the Pete Maravich Assembly Center in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 19-7 (9-4) this season after they defeated Arkansas in overtime by a score of 117-115 in their last game. Alabama trailed 57-47 at halftime, but they scored 48 points in the second half and eventually won in the second overtime. The Crimson Tide shot 56% from the field, 34% on three pointers, and 79% on free throws in the game. Labaron Philon Jr led Alabama with 35 points and seven assists, while Aiden Sherrell added 26 points and 13 rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Alabama defeated South Carolina by a score of 89-75 and Ole Miss by a score of 93-74. The Crimson Tide have scored 92.7 points per game with 41.3 rebounds and 16.7 assists per game, while they have allowed 83.9 points against per game this season. Labaron Philon Jr is averaging 21.8 points and 5.0 assists per game, while Aden Holloway is averaging 16.9 points and 3.9 assists per game for the Crimson Tide. Alabama is shooting 46.0% from the field, 76.2% on free throws, and 35.7% on three pointers this season. 

LSU Tigers Betting Preview

The LSU Tigers are 14-12 (2-11) this year after they lost to Texas by a score of 88-85 in their last game. LSU trailed 48-33 at halftime, but they scored 52 points in the second half in the close loss. The Tigers shot 52% from the field, 42% on three pointers, and 84% on free throws in the game. Max Mackinnon led LSU with 27 points and three assists, while Marquel Sutton added 21 points and five rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, LSU lost to Tennessee by a score of 73-63 and Arkansas by a score of 91-62. The Tigers have scored 80.9 points per game with 36.5 rebounds and 14.5 assists per game, while they have allowed 75.8 points against per game this season. Max Mackinnon is averaging 15.0 points and 2.6 assists per game, while Marquel Sutton is averaging 13.8 points and 7.7 rebounds per game for the Tigers. LSU is shooting 47.5% from the field, 76.5% on free throws, and 32.3% on three pointers this year. 

Why the LSU Tigers will win

  • LSU has won eight of its last nine games at Pete Maravich Assembly Center when playing with a rest advantage.
  • Alabama has lost each of its last three road games after coming off overtime.
  • LSU has won the first half in three of its last four day games at Pete Maravich Assembly Center.

Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win

  • Alabama has won each of its last 20 day games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
  • LSU has lost 14 of its last 15 day games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • LSU has lost the first half in each of its last four games against Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of LSU’s last 19 games against the Southeastern Conference Conference at Pete Maravich Assembly Center have produced a total of 164 or fewer points.
  • Four of Alabama’s last five day games at Pete Maravich Assembly Center have produced a total of 157 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • LSU ranks 41st among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (76.5%).
  • LSU ranks 43rd among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (24.3).
  • Alabama ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (69.0).
  • Alabama ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (12.7).

Alabama vs LSU Prediction 

LSU comes into this matchup on a four game losing streak and they are just 2-11 in SEC play this year. The Tigers are shooting 48% from the field, but they have allowed at least 83 points in four of their last five. Alabama is on a nice winning streak and they are 9-4 in conference play. The Tide are shooting 46% from the field and they have scored at least 89 points in five straight. Alabama plays zero defense, but they should handle this below average LSU squad. Take the Crimson Tide here.

David Racey's Pick: Alabama -7.5

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