Alabama State vs Missouri Prediction 12/11/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Missouri Tigers and the Alabama State Hornets will meet on Thursday evening in a non‑conference matchup at Mizzou Arena in Columbia, Missouri.

Missouri Tigers Betting Preview

The Missouri Tigers enter Thursday night’s contest with an 8–2 win‑loss record, including a 6–0 mark at home. The Tigers have compiled wins over Howard, VMI, Minnesota, South Carolina State and the South Dakota State Coyotes, while losing games to Nore Dame and Kansas. In Missouri Tigers 86-59 win over the Cleveland State Vikings last month, guard Mark Mitchell tallied 10 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists.

The Missouri Tigers average 87.4 points on 52.4 percent shooting from the field (9th in country) and 36.5 percent shooting from three‑point range per game. Defensively, the Tigers are allowing opponents 70.1 points per game.

Senior guard Mark Mitchell leads the Missouri Tigers backcourt averaging 18.4 points, 6.2 rebounds and 3 assists per game. Senior guard Jacob Crews adds 13.8 points and 4.8 rebounds per game, while senior guard Jayden Stone contributes 13.3 points, 4.5 rebounds, 1.2 steals and 2.7 assists per contest. Junior center Shawn Phillips Jr. adds 8.9 points, 6.1 rebounds and 1.8 blocks per game.

Alabama State Hornets Betting Preview

The Alabama State Hornets enter Thursday’s contest with a 3–6 record, including a 1–4 mark on the road. The Hornets have compiled wins over UAB, Virginia‑Lynchburg, and the IU Indianapolis Jaguars, while dropping games to FSU, Colorado, Air Force the New Mexico Lobos. In the Alabama State Hornets 74–64 loss to UT Martin last week, guard Asjon Anderson accumulated 11 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists.

The Alabama State Hornets average 73.9 points on 42.6 percent shooting from the field and 35.9 percent shooting from three‑point range per game. The Hornets are allowing opponents 83.1 points per game which ranks an abysmal 313th in the nation.

Senior guard Asjon Anderson leads the Alabama State Hornets averaging 17.9 points, 2.2 rebounds, 4.4 assists and 1.1 steals per game. Senior guard Micah Simpson adds 16.9 points, 3.3 assists and 3.3 rebounds per game, while junior guard Tyler Byrd contributes 9.4 points and 3.2 rebounds per contest. Freshman forward Jerquarius Stanback averages 7.7 points and 2.4 blocks a game.

Why the Missouri Tigers Will Win

•            Home dominance. The Missouri Tigers are unbeaten at home (6–0) this season.

•            Balanced roster. Mitchell, Crews, and Stone provide scoring, rebounding, and playmaking ability.

•            Offensive efficiency. The Missouri Tigers average 87.4 points on 52.4 percent shooting from the field which ranks 9th in the nation.

Why the Alabama State Hornets Will Win

•            Quality guard play. Asjon Anderson and Micah Simpson combine for over 34 points per game.

•            Defensive presence. Stanback provides rim protection with 2.4 blocks per game.

•            Upset motivation. Alabama State will be eager to knock off an SEC opponent.

Missouri Tigers vs. Alabama State Hornets Prediction

This matchup features the Missouri Tigers explosive offense and home dominance against the Alabama State Hornets guard driven attack. The Tigers should look to Mitchell’s scoring and Phillips rebounding to control tempo, while the Hornets will look to Anderson and Simpson to carry the scoring load.

Beyond the statistical edge, Missouri’s ability to stretch defenses with Crews and Stone from the perimeter should prove decisive. If the Tigers convert defensive stops into transition points, they’ll build separation quickly. Alabama State will need Anderson to have a monster performance to keep this close, but Missouri’s depth and efficiency make that unlikely.

Additionally, Missouri’s ability to control pace at home should prove critical. With Mitchell anchoring the offense and Phillips providing interior defense, the Tigers have the tools to extend the margin late. If Alabama State fails to slow the tempo, Missouri’s balanced attack will likely secure another home victory. I am backing Missouri to win this game comfortably.

Hans Geevers's Pick: Missouri TBA