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Air Force vs San Diego State Prediction 1/8/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

San Diego State (9-3) vs Air Force (3-11)

January 8, 2025 at 10:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: San Diego State -21.5 — Over/Under: 131.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Air Force Falcons are visiting the San Diego State Aztecs on Wednesday, January 8th at the Viejas Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Air Force Falcons vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction. We will examine:

The San Diego State Aztecs’ recent form and player performance

The Air Force Falcons’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Diego State Aztecs

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Air Force Falcons

Recent betting trends in games played between Air Force Falcons and San Diego State Aztecs

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Air Force Falcons vs San Diego State Aztecs game

San Diego State Aztecs Preview

The San Diego State Aztecs have a 9-3 record this season and are sitting in the 6th place in the Mountain West. San Diego State is coming off a 76-68 win over Boise State. The Aztecs are 5-6 against the spread, and 5-6 in over/under, while having a 4-2 home record. 

Offensively, San Diego State is averaging 74.5 points per game, which ranks 210th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 63.9 points per game (26th). The Aztecs shoot 44.8% from the field (205th) and 36.8% from beyond the arc (61st). The Aztecs shoot 70.6% from the free-throw line (210th) and are grabbing 37.8 rebounds per game (106th).

Myles Bird leads San Diego State in scoring with an average of 13.9 points and 4.5 rebounds, while Nick Boyd adds 12.9 points and 4.5 rebounds.

Air Force Falcons Preview

The Air Force Falcons have a 3-11 record this season and are sitting in the 8th place of the Mountain West. The Falcons are coming off a 65-70 loss to Wyoming. The Falcons are 6-8 against the spread, and 9-5 in over/under, while having a 0-5 road record this season.

Offensively, Air Force is averaging 65.1 points per game, which ranks just 344th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 70 points per game (146th). The Falcons shoot 46.9% from the field (94th) and 34.6% from beyond the arc (143rd). The Falcons shoot 60.5% from the free-throw line, which is the third-worst in the nation, and are grabbing 29.1 rebounds per game (359th).

Ethan Taylor leads Air Force in scoring with an average of 14.4 points, adding team-highs both in rebounding with 6.2 and in assists made with 4.2.

Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win

  • San Diego State has won each of its last 10 night games against Air Force.
  • Air Force has lost each of its last eight games against the Mountain West Conference.
  • San Diego State has won the first half in each of its last seven night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Air Force Falcons will win

  • San Diego State has lost the first half in three of its last four night games against the Mountain West Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Air Force’s last seven games against Conference opponents has produced a total of 132+ points.
  • Each of San Diego State’s last four games against Conference opponents at Viejas Arena has produced a total of 133+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • San Diego State ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (35.7%).
  • San Diego State ranks T5th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (6.0).
  • Air Force ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (49.0).
  • Air Force ranks 362nd among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (60.5%).

Air Force Falcons vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction

San Diego State has won its last nine meetings against Air Force and is 6-3 against the spread. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings, and in their most recent meeting last season, San Diego State won 77-64 on the road, covering the spread, and the game went over the point total. In this Air Force Falcons vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, San Diego State is coming as a -21.5 home favorites. San Diego State is better both offensively, scoring 9.4 points more than Air Force, and defensively, allowing 6.1 points less. The Aztecs are winning by an average of 10.6 points this season, while the Falcons are losing by an average of 4.9 points. The Aztecs are the superior team in this matchup as they boast the 26th-best defense in the nation and are going up against a bottom-20 offense. Take the San Diego State Aztecs to take care of business and lay the points at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: San Diego State Aztecs -21.5

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