Purdue (21-10) vs USC (16-16)
Game Info: Thursday, March 13, 2025 at 9:00 pm (Gainbridge Fieldhouse)
Betting Odds: Purdue -9.5 -- Over/Under: 149.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: BTN
The USC Trojans and the Purdue Boilermakers meet Thursday in college basketball action from the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a USC vs. Purdue prediction.
Matchup History
The Purdue Boilermakers won the lone head-to-head matchup between these two teams this season by a final score of 90-72 back on February 7th, 2025.
USC Recap
The USC Trojans come into this game looking to build on their 97-89 win over Rutgers to advance to the second round of their first Big Ten tournament.
Trojans Looking To Spring Another Upset
Desmond Claude leads USC in scoring and assists with 16.2 PPG and 4.3 APG along with 3.5 RPG while Chibuzo Agbo has 11.9 PPG with 4.5 RPG. Wesley Yates III has 14.1 PPG while Saint Thomas has 9.1 PPG with a team-high 5.8 RPG to lead the Trojans on the glass so far this season. Josh Cohen also has 6.3 PPG with 2.5 RPG while Rashaun Agee has 8.4 PPG with 4.2 RPG as well on the year. As a team, USC is averaging 77.1 PPG on 48.4% shooting from the field, 37% from three and 74.7% from the foul line this season.
Purdue Recap
The Purdue Boilermakers come into the conference tournament as the 6-seed, finishing the year with a 21-10 overall record including a 13-7 record in Big Ten conference play.
Boilermakers Trying To Replicate Tournament Success Without Edey, Searching For Second Big Ten Tournament Title In Three Years
Trey Kaufman-Renn leads Purdue in scoring and rebounding with 19.7 PPG and 6.1 RPG while Fletcher Loyer has 14.1 PPG. Braden Smith has 16.3 PPG with 4.7 RPG of his own as well as a team-high 8.8 APG to lead the Boilermakers in assists while rounding out the group of double-digit scorers for Purdue up to this point in the year. As a team, Purdue is averaging 78.3 PPG on 49.6% shooting from the field, 38.6% from three and 73.2% from the foul line this season.
Why the Purdue Boilermakers will win
- Purdue has won each of its last six games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- USC has lost eight of its last nine games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
Total Points Facts
- Each of USC's last 13 night games have produced a total of 151+ points.
- Each of Purdue's last seven night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.
USC Vs. Purdue Prediction
I’m on the over here. Purdue’s been scoring points in bunches for the better part of the season and started to come on strong down the stretch with 80+ points in 6 of their last 10 games to close out the year. The problem for Purdue is defense, especially inside the arc, which is where USC does a lot of their scoring. The Purdue Boilermakers have the worst 2-point defense in the conference and a bottom-20 2-point defense nationally this season and I think that could be a point of contention for USC to attack and to try to exploit in this game. I think that we’re headed for some points in this game and I like this one to get up and over the total. Give met he over here.
Chris’s Pick Over 149.5
AUTHOR: Chris Ruffolo

Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg