Kennesaw State (18-13) vs New Mexico State (17-14)
Game Info: Thursday, March 13, 2025 at 6:30 pm (Propst Arena)
Betting Odds: Kennesaw State -1 -- Over/Under: 136.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: ESPN+
The New Mexico State Aggies are facing the Kennesaw State Owls on Thursday, March 13th at the Von Braun Center, in this Conference USA quarterfinal between the 4th seed and the 5th seed of the conference. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New Mexico State Aggies vs Kennesaw State Owls Prediction. We will examine:
The Kennesaw State Owls' recent form and player performance
The New Mexico State Aggies' recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Kennesaw State Owls
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New Mexico State Aggies
Recent betting trends in games played between the New Mexico State Aggies and Kennesaw State Owls
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the New Mexico State Aggies vs Kennesaw State Owls game
Kennesaw State Owls Preview
The Kennesaw State Owls finished the regular season with an 18-13 record and were placed 5th in the USA. The Owls are coming off a 74-70 win over Jacksonville State. The Owls are 18-10 against the spread and 10-16-2 in over/under.
Offensively, Kennesaw State is averaging 76.4 points per game, which ranks 109th in the nation. Defensively, they are allowing 72.9 points per game (211th). The Owls shoot 42.7% from the field (289th) and 30.5% from beyond the arc (337th). The Owls shoot 71.3% from the free throw line (220th) and are grabbing 40.7 rebounds per game, which is the 8th-best in the nation.
Adrian Wooley leads Kennesaw State scoring this season, with an average of 18.5 points, 5.2 rebounds, and a team-high 3.5 assists, while Simeon Cottle adds 17.7 points and 3.1 assists per game.
New Mexico State Aggies Preview
The New Mexico State Aggies finished the regular season with a 17-14 record and were placed 4th in the USA. New Mexico State is coming off a 69-76 loss to Sam Houston. The Aggies are 13-15 against the spread, and 8-20 in over/under.
Offensively, New Mexico State is averaging 69.4 points per game, which ranks 301st in the nation. Defensively, they allow 65.5 points per game (28th). The Aggies shoot 41.5% from the field (333rd) and 32% from beyond the arc (290th). The Aggies shoot 68% from the free-throw line (316th), and they are grabbing 37.5 rebounds per game (69th).
Christian Cook leads New Mexico State in scoring with an average of 13 points per game, while Peter Filipovity adds 12.8 points and a team-high 8.3 rebounds per game.
Why the Kennesaw State Owls will win
- New Mexico State has lost seven of its last eight games played at neutral venues.
- Kennesaw State has won three of its last four night games.
- New Mexico State has lost the first half in each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win
- New Mexico State has won three of its last four night games.
- Kennesaw State has lost three of its last four games played at neutral venues.
- New Mexico State has won the first half in each of its last eight Thursday games against the Conference USA.
Total Points Facts
- Ten of New Mexico State's last 11 night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 129 or fewer points.
- Nineteen of Kennesaw State's last 22 games have produced a total of 137+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Kennesaw State ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (40.7).
- Kennesaw State ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (54.4%).
- New Mexico State ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (28.6%).
- New Mexico State ranks 12th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (39.4%).
New Mexico State Aggies vs Kennesaw State Owls Prediction
Both teams are tied 1-1 in wins this season, with each one having won on the road. Kennesaw State won by 69-56 and New Mexico State by 60-49, as both games went under the point total.
In this New Mexico State Aggies vs Kennesaw State Owls Prediction, Kennesaw State is coming as -1-point favorites. Both teams have almost identical records this season, but the Aggies have 8 wins away from home, while the Owls have 5. Kennesaw State is coming off back-to-back wins, but they were 1-3 in their 4 games before that. New Mexico State is 5-2 in their last 7 games and 5-2 against the spread, but the value in this matchup lies in the total. Both teams are a strong 14-5-1 to the under in their last 20 games combined, and both of their meetings this season were extremely low-scoring ones, with just 109 and 125 total points. I expect another low-scoring grind in this elimination game, so take the under.
Nikos’s Pick Under 136.5
AUTHOR: Nikos Lagouretos
