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Alabama vs Kentucky Prediction 1/18/25 College Basketball Picks

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Kentucky (14-3) vs Alabama (14-3)

January 18, 2025 at 12:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Kentucky -2.5 — Over/Under: 179.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an Alabama vs Kentucky Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, January 18th, at the Rupp Arena.  To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Crimson Tide’s recent form and recent player performance 

-The Wildcats’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Alabama

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Kentucky

-Recent betting trends in games played between Alabama and Kentucky

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Crimson Tide and Wildcats. 

The home team has won the last three games played between the two teams. When these two teams faced off last February it was Kentucky that secured the 117-95. 

How Does Alabama Bounce Back?

Alabama is coming off a disappointing loss and they are looking to bounce back in a big way here. Alabama was at home against Ole Miss and the offense wasn’t good enough. The offense overall this season has been strong, but they managed only 64 points and that led to the 10-point defeat. Alabama shot 42.6 percent from the field but only 25 percent from the three-point line and the lack of three-point shooting really hurt them. Aden Holloway did have a strong game putting up 15 points, six rebounds, and three assists. 

Alabama comes into this game with a 14-3 record and they have gone 9-8 against the spread so far this season. Alabama on the season is averaging 89.5 points while their defense is giving up 77.2 points per game. The offense is ranked 1st in the league while the defense is ranked 310th. This is a team that likes to shoot it from deep and they are averaging 31.24 three-point attempts per game. Mark Sears has been the top player for Alabama averaging 18.5 points while shooting 40.8 percent from the field. 

Why Alabama Will Beat Kentucky

  • Alabama has won nine of its last 10 day games.

Another Big Opportunity for Kentucky

Kentucky has played well so far this season and coming into this game they have won two games in a row. Two games ago against Mississippi State on the road, they were able to pick up a 95-90 victory. In the last game, they returned to face Texas A&M at home and they were able to pick up an 81-69 victory. Jaxson Robinson had a strong game putting up 22 points, eight rebounds, and two assists. There were three different players that put up at least 10 points. Kentucky as a team shot 46.2 percent from the field and they held Texas A&M to only 23.3 percent from behind the three-point line. 

Kentucky comes into this game with a 14-3 record overall and they have gone 9-7-1 against the spread. Kentucky is averaging 87.1 points while their defense is giving up 74.6 points per game. The offense is ranked 3rd in the league while the defense is ranked 265th. One area this team could improve is forcing more turnovers. They are averaging only 7.18 steals per game which is 164th in all of college basketball. Otega Oweh has been the top player for Kentucky averaging 15.4 points while shooting 49.7 percent from the field and 34.1 percent from behind the three-point line. 

Why Kentucky Will Beat Alabama

  • Kentucky has won each of its last 10 day games against the Southeastern Conference at Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center.
  • Alabama has lost the first half in six of its last seven games at Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center.

Alabama vs Kentucky Prediction

There is going to be zero defense played by either team in this matchup. Alabama is averaging 89.5 points per game while Kentucky is averaging 88.7 points per game. Alabama’s offense is ranked 1st in the league while Kentucky’s offense is ranked 3rd in the league. Alabama and Kentucky are both going to have no issue running up the score here, and that is going to be the difference here. Back the over to cash here. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Over

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