UC Santa Barbara vs Cal Poly Prediction 1/11/25 College Basketball Picks

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cal Poly Mustangs

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the UCSB Gauchos

Recent betting trends in games played between UCSB Gauchos and Cal Poly Mustangs

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the UCSB Gauchos vs Cal Poly Mustangs game

Cal Poly Mustangs Preview

The Cal Poly Mustangs have a 6-11 record this season and are sitting in 10th place in the Big West. They are coming off a 68-95 loss to UC San Diego. The Mustangs are 6-10 against the spread, and 12-4 in over/under, while having a 4-2 home record.

Offensively, Cal Poly is averaging 81.6 points per game, which is 56th in the nation. Defensively, they are allowing 85.9 points per game, which is the 4th-worst nationally. The Mustangs shoot 45.8% from the field (149th) and with 34.2% from beyond the arc (160th). The Mustangs shoot 75.6% from the free-throw line (62nd) and are grabbing 36.2 rebounds per game (183rd).

Owen Koonce leads Cal Poly in scoring this season, with an average of 18.1 points and a team-high 5.5 rebounds, while Jarred Hyder adds 14.9 points, 3.6 rebounds and a team-high 3.4 assists

UCSB Gauchos Preview

The UCSB Gauchos have a 10-5 record this season and are sitting in the 6th place in the Big West. The Gauchos are coming off a 78-66 win over Cal State Bakersfield. The Gauchos are 7-6 against the spread, and 4-9 in over/under while having a 3-3 road record.

Offensively, UCSB is averaging 75.5 points per game, which ranks 176th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 64.7 points per game (36th). The Gauchos shoot 48.2% from the field (51st) and 37.9% from beyond the arc (31st). The Gauchos shoot 73.6% from the free-throw line (122nd) and are grabbing 36.6 rebounds per game (161st). 

Kenny Pohto leads UCSB in scoring this season, with an average of 12.6 points and a team-high 7.7 rebounds, while Jason Fontenet adds 11.9 points and 6.3 rebounds.

Why the Cal Poly Mustangs will win

• The home team has won six of UC Santa Barbara's last seven games.
• UC Santa Barbara has lost four of its last five day games against the Big West Conference.
• The home team has won the first half in four of UC Santa Barbara's last five games.

Why the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos will win

• Cal Poly has lost each of its last 26 games against the Big West Conference.
• UC Santa Barbara has won each of its last 14 games against Cal Poly.
• Cal Poly has lost the first half in each of its last six day games against the Big West Conference.

Matchup/League Facts

• Cal Poly ranks 363rd among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (10.8).
• Cal Poly ranks 362nd among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (17.1).
• UC Santa Barbara ranks T18th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.1).
• UC Santa Barbara ranks T24th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (10.1).

UCSB Gauchos vs Cal Poly Mustangs Prediction

UCSB has won their last 10 meetings against Cal Poly, but Cal Poly is 7-2-1 against the spread in their last 10 meetings. Over/under is 4-5-1 in their last 10 meetings, and in their most recent meeting last season, UCSB won 83-75 at home, not covering the spread, as the game went over the total. In this UCSB Gauchos vs Cal Poly Mustangs Prediction, UCSB is coming as -3 road favorites. Cal Poly has been terrible lately, as they are 1-7 in their last 8 games and 0-8 against the spread. On the other hand, the Gauchos are the better team and in far better form, as they are 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games. Take the UCSB Gauchos and lay the points on the road.