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Notre Dame vs Duke Prediction 1/11/25 College Basketball Picks

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Duke (13-2) vs Notre Dame (7-8)

January 11, 2025 at 12:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Duke -19.5 — Over/Under: 135.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Duke Blue Devils meet Saturday in college basketball action from Moody Coliseum. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Notre Dame vs. Duke prediction.

Notre Dame Recap

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish come into this game looking to bounce back after a 66-65 loss to NC State in their last matchup to fall to 7-8 on the year. After this game, Notre Dame will head home for a matchup with Boston College.

Irish’s Second Straight One-Point Loss Makes It Three L’s In A Row

Markus Burton has logged 18.4 PPG with 3.4 RPG and 4 APG in 8 games played so far this season while Tae Davis has 16.5 PPG with 5.6 RPG. Braeden Shrewsberry has 15.9 PPG with 2.7 RPG and Matt Allocco has 10.1 PPG with 4.5 RPG and 3.3 APG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Notre Dame so far this season. Kebba Njie also has 6.7 PPG with a team-high 6.1 RPG to lead Notre Dame in rebounding as well this season. As a team, Notre Dame is averaging 74.9 PPG on 46.9% shooting from the field, 36% from behind the arc, and 74.8% from the charity stripe this season.

Why the Notre Dame Fighting Irish will win

  • Notre Dame has won three of its last four day games against Duke.

Duke Recap

The Duke Blue Devils come into this game looking to add to their 76-47 win over Pitt in their last matchup to improve their record to 13-2 on the year. After this game, Duke will welcome the Miami Hurricanes to town.

Blue Devils Win 9th In A Row


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Cooper Flagg leads Duke across the board in scoring, rebounding, and assists with 17.5 PPG, 8.5 RPG, and 3.7 APG while Kon Kneuppel has 12.7 PPG with 3.5 RPG and 2.7 APG as well this season. Tyrese Proctor has 11.7 PPG with 3.7 RPG to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Duke so far this season. Isaiah Evans has 7.8 PPG while Sion James has 8 PPG with 4.6 RPG and Khaman Maluach has 8.1 PPG with 5.6 RPG as well on the year. As a team, Duke is averaging 80 PPG on 47.5% shooting from the field, 36.8% from three, and 74.9% from the foul line this season.

Why the Duke Blue Devils will win

  • Duke has won each of its last 14 games at Cameron Indoor Stadium against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Notre Dame has lost each of its last 11 games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Duke’s last 11 day games against the Atlantic Coast Conference has produced a total of 138+ points.
  • Seven of Notre Dame’s last eight games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 135 or fewer points.

Notre Dame vs. Duke Prediction

I’m on Duke in this one. It’s a big number for conference play, but I have a feeling this is the kind of number we’re going to see more often than not with Duke in ACC play this season. KenPom has the Blue Devils with a 36% chance to run the table in their 20-game ACC slate, and there are not a whole lot of spots where they could trip up if we’re being honest and this isn’t one of them. I just don’t think that the Irish have what it takes to go shot for shot with Duke even for the first 20 minutes. I expect Duke to have this wrapped up by halftime and then on to the next one. Give me Duke in another beatdown.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Duke -19.5


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