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Nevada vs Fresno State Prediction 1/11/25 College Basketball Picks

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Fresno State (4-12) vs Nevada (8-7)

January 11, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Fresno State +12.5 — Over/Under: 148

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Nevada vs Fresno State Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, January 11th, at the Save Mart Center. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Wolf Pack’s recent form and recent player performance 

-The Bulldogs’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Fresno State

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Nevada

-Recent betting trends in games played between Fresno State and Nevada

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Wolf Pack and Bulldogs. 

Nevada Keeps Falling Short

Nevada keeps falling short heading into this game and they have lost four games in a row. Even though they lost the four games, three of the games were decided by three or fewer, and the other game was decided by five points. In the last game against New Mexico, Nevada scored 81 points, but the defense gave up 82 points and that led to the defeat. Guard Kobe Sanders was the top player putting up 21 points, five rebounds, and four assists. Nick Davidson also put up 18 points, six rebounds, and four assists. 

Nevada is averaging 75.1 points while their defense is giving up 67.5 points per game. The offense is ranked 190th in the league while the defense is ranked 85th in the league. They are shooting 40.08 percent from deep which is 6th best in the league. Forward Nick Davidson is averaging 15.3 points while shooting 48.7 percent from the field and 42.1 percent from behind the three-point line. 

Why Nevada Will Beat Fresno State

  • Fresno State has lost each of its last seven games against the Mountain West Conference at Save Mart Center.
  • Nevada has won each of its last four games against Fresno State.
  • Nevada has won the first half in each of its last four day games against Fresno State.

Fresno State is Struggling

Fresno State is really struggling heading into this game and they have lost five games in a row. Two games ago against Utah State, Fresno State was defeated 89-83 and in the last game against Colorado State, they ended up losing 91-64. At halftime against Colorado State, they were down 49-26 and they couldn’t bounce back on the way to the defeat. Alex Crawford put up 21 points, five rebounds, and two assists. There were only two different players that scored in double figures. 

Fresno State is averaging 73.5 points while their defense is giving up 82.8 points per game. The offense is ranked 232nd in the league while the defense is ranked 357th in the league. They are shooting 15.38 free throws per game and they need to try and do a better job of getting to the free-throw line here. Zaon Collins is averaging 12.9 points while shooting 37.3 percent from the field. 

Nevada vs Fresno State Prediction

Nevada has lost the last few games in close fashion, but this game is going to be different. Nevada is averaging 75.1 points and now they get to face off against against a Fresno State defense that is giving up 82.8 points per game. Fresno State is averaging 73.5 points per game but they aren’t going to have the offense to keep this game close. This game is going to get out of control early, and it’s going to be Nevada that is going to end up cruising. Back Nevada against the spread. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Nevada -12.5

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