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Boise State vs Utah State Prediction 1/11/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Utah State (15-1) vs Boise State (12-4)

January 11, 2025 at 09:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Utah State -5.5 — Over/Under: 147.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Boise State Broncos are visiting the Utah State Aggies on Saturday, January 11th at the Dee Glen Smith Spectrum. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Boise State Broncos vs Utah State Aggies Prediction. We will examine:

The Utah State Aggies’ recent form and player performance

The Boise State Broncos’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Utah State Aggies

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boise State Broncos

Recent betting trends in games played between Boise State Broncos and Utah State Aggies

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Boise State Broncos vs Utah State Aggies game

Utah State Aggies Preview

The Utah State Aggies have a 15-1 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the Mountain West. Utah State is coming off an 85-78 win over San Jose State. The Aggies are 8-7 against the spread, and 5-8-2 in over/under, while having an 8-1 home record.

Offensively, Utah State is averaging 83.4 points per game, which is the 29th-best in the nation. Defensively, they allow 67.4 points per game (83rd). The Aggies shoot 49% from the field (28th) and 34.3% from beyond the arc (153rd). The Aggies shoot 73.5% from the free-throw line (127th) and are grabbing 37.3 rebounds per game (129th).

Ian Martinez leads Utah State in scoring with an average of 16.8 points, 3.4 rebounds, and 3.3 assists, while Mason Falsley adds 16.8 points and a team-high 6.3 rebounds.

Boise State Broncos Preview

The Boise State Broncos have a 12-4 record this season and are sitting in third place in the Mountain West. Boise State is coming off an 81-59 win over UNLV. The Broncos are 6-9 against the spread, and 9-6 in over/under, while having a 2-1 road record

Offensively, Boise State is averaging 77.6 points per game, which ranks 118th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 65.9 points per game (52nd). The Broncos shoot 47.1% from the field (83rd) and 29.9% from beyond the arc (321st). The Broncos shoot 78.4% from the free-throw line (16th) and are grabbing 38.3 rebounds per game (79th).

Tyson Degenhart leads Boise State in scoring, with an average of 17.7 points and 6.3 rebounds, while Andrew Meadow adds 12.1 points and 5.1 rebounds.

Why the Utah State Aggies will win

  • Utah State has won each of its last 14 Saturday games at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum.
  • Boise State has lost 28 of its last 34 games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • Utah State has won the first half in eight of its last nine games at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Boise State Broncos will win

  • Boise State has won each of its last five night games.
  • Boise State has won the first half in each of its last five night games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Utah State ranks 11th among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (18.5).
  • Utah State ranks 17th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (9.9).
  • Boise State ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (9.3).
  • Boise State ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (29.1).

Boise State Broncos vs Utah State Aggies Prediction

Utah State has won their last 4 meetings against Boise State and is 4-0 against the spread. Over/under is 5-5 in their last 10 meetings, and in their most recent meeting last season, Utah State won 80-61 at home, covering the spread, as the game went under the total. In this Boise State Broncos vs Utah State Aggies Prediction, Utah State is coming as a -5.5 home favorites. Both teams have been playing very well lately, as they are 6-1 and 5-0 in their recent games, and both have been involved in higher-scoring games lately, going for 6-1 to the over in their last 7 games combined. I expect fireworks offensively, so take the over.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 147.5

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