Long Beach State vs UC Davis Prediction 1/11/25 College Basketball Picks

UC Davis (9-7) vs Long Beach State (6-10)

Game Info: Saturday, January 11, 2025 at 5:00 pm (University Credit Union Center)

Betting Odds: UC Davis -5 -- Over/Under: 136.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: ESPN+

The Long Beach State Beach are visiting the UC-Davis Aggies on Saturday, January 11th at the University Credit Union Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Long Beach State Beach vs UC-Davis Aggies Prediction. We will examine:

The UC-Davis Aggies' recent form and player performance

The Long Beach State Beach's recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the UC-Davis Aggies

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Long Beach State Beach

Recent betting trends in games played between Long Beach State Beach and UC-Davis Aggies

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Long Beach State Beach vs UC-Davis Aggies game

UC-Davis Aggies Preview

The UC-Davis Aggies have an 8-7 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place in the Big West. The Aggies are coming off a 63-53 win over Cal State Fullerton. The Aggies are 7-6 against the spread, and 4-9 in over/under, while they have a 6-1 home record.

Offensively, UC-Davis is averaging 70.3 points per game, which ranks 290th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 71.3 points per game (193rd). The Aggies shoot 41.3% from the field (329th) and 31.6% from beyond the arc (289th). The Aggies shoot 72.5% from the free-throw line (154th) and are grabbing 35.1 rebounds per game (243rd).

TY Johnson leads UC-Davis in scoring this season, with 20 points and 4.9 rebounds, while Pablo Tamba adds 11.1 points and 5 rebounds.

Long Beach State Beach Preview

The Long Beach State Beach has a 6-10 record this season and is sitting in 6th place in the Big West. Long Beach State is coming off a 65-80 loss to Cal State Bakersfield. The Beach are 5-9 against the spread, and 8-6 in over/under, while having a 3-4 road record. 

Offensively, Long Beach State is averaging 66.7 points per game, which ranks just 335th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 71.1 points per game (180th). The Beach shoot 44.4% from the field (216th) and 34.1% from beyond the arc (164th). The Beach shoot 72.2% from the free-throw line (165th) and are grabbing 32.9 rebounds per game (319th).

Devin Askew leads Long Beach State in scoring with an average of 17.8 points, 4.4 rebounds, and a team-high 4.4 assists, while TJ Wrainwright adds 11.6 points and 3 rebounds.

Why the UC Davis Aggies will win

  • The home team has won each of UC Davis' last six games.
  • Long Beach State has lost five of its last six day games at University Credit Union Center.
  • The home team has won the first half in each of UC Davis' last six games.

Why the Long Beach State Beach will win

  • Long Beach State has won six of its last seven day games against the Big West Conference.
  • UC Davis has lost three of its last four day games following a home win.
  • Long Beach State has won the first half in each of its last three day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Long Beach State's last nine Saturday games against the Big West Conference has produced a total of 138+ points.
  • Each of the last five games between Long Beach State and UC Davis has produced a total of 144+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • UC Davis ranks T13th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (16.3).
  • UC Davis ranks T16th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.1).
  • Long Beach State ranks 356th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (52.9).
  • Long Beach State ranks 47th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (67.9%).

Long Beach State Beach vs UC-Davis Aggies Prediction

Long Beach State is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against UC-Davis and is 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 meetings. Under is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings, and in their most recent meeting last season, Long Beach State won 74-70 on the road, covering the spread, as the game went under the total. In this Long Beach State Beach vs UC-Davis Aggies Prediction, UC-Davis is coming as -5 home favorites. Both teams have struggling offenses, as they both rank in the bottom 70 of the nation with 134 points per game combined. They also struggle with their shooting, as the Aggies are a bottom-30 team in field goal percentage, and the Beach are bottom half in both shooting percentages. Expect a low-scoring affair and take the under.

Nikos’s Pick Under 136.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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