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Texas-Arlington vs Tarleton State Prediction College Basketball Picks 1/4/25
Pick details
Tarleton State (5-10) vs Texas-Arlington (7-7)
January 4, 2025 at 08:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Tarleton State +5.5 / Texas-Arlington -5.5 — Over/Under:
The Texas-Arlington Mavericks and the Tarleton State Texans meet Saturday in college basketball action from Wisdom Gym. Here’s a Texas-Arlington vs Tarleton State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Texas-Arlington vs Tarleton State pick. We will examine:
The Texas-Arlington Mavericks’ recent form and player performance
The Tarleton State Texans’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Texas-Arlington Mavericks
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Tarleton State Texans
Recent betting trends in games played between Texas-Arlington and Tarleton State
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Texas-Arlington vs Tarleton State game
Texas-Arlington Mavericks Betting Preview
This year the Mavericks kicked things off on a pretty spotty run, and things haven’t changed much in 14 games. Texas-Arlington hit a 2-4 stretch out of the gate, taking out only UNT Dallas and Texas College alongside losses to Louisiana Tech, USC, Missouri State, and Murray State in that time. a 2-2 run came afterward with wins over Austin Peay and Louisiana-Monroe mixed with losses versus Rhode Island and Arkansas State. The good news is that the Mavericks have hit a 3-1 record in their last four games. Outside of a lone loss to Liberty, it’s been wins versus Louisiana-Monroe, Evansville, and Texas State in that time for a .500 record so far.
Matched up against Texas State in their December 29 game, the Mavericks came out of halftime looking up at a 39-32 deficit on the scoreboard. Texas-Arlington got it together from there, however, notching a 48-33 run in an eventual comeback victory 80-72. Leading the team in scoring off the bench was Diante Smith with 24 points in 29 minutes of work. Lance Ware doubled up with 19 points and 12 boards, while Raysean Seamster had 13 points in the win.
Tarleton State Texans Betting Preview
Over on the Tarleton State side, they haven’t found much success yet this year on a 5-10 overall record. The Texans began with a 1-6 run featuring a lone win over Tabor. The losses in that time were versus SMU, Sam Houston, Florida State, Baylor, Michigan, and Iona. A 2-4 stretch came next with wins over Hofstra and Dallas Christian alongside losses to Indiana State, UCF, UTEP, and Oklahoma State. It’s been wins over Howard Payne and Florida A&M in the last two games, however.
Matched up against Florida A&M on Sunday, the Texans were ahead comfortably 39-26 by the break. Tarleton State cruised in the second half on 31 more points and ended up with a win 70-60 in the end. Leading team scorer Keitenn Bristow put up 23 points and six rebounds with a pair of steals. Bubu Benjamin doubled up on 17 points, 11 rebounds, and two assists. Leading the team off the bench was Dantwan Grimes with nine points and five assists.
Why the Tarleton State Texans will win
- Tarleton State has won each of its last seven Saturday games against the Western Athletic Conference.
Why the UT Arlington Mavericks will win
- UT Arlington Mavericks has won eight of its last nine games against Conference opponents.
- Tarleton State has lost eight of its last 10 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Texas-Arlington vs Tarleton State Prediction
I’ll stay with Texas Arlington. There’s not a lot to get worked up about in this matchup, but if you’re a fan of TX-Arlington it’s a solid opportunity to get past the .500 mark on the season. The Mavs are coming off a nice effort versus a decent Texas State team, notching 51 percent shooting and a 37-32 rebounding advantage in the win. That makes 68 or more points in seven of the last eight games, resulting in a 5-3 run in the record column.
As for Tarleton State, they dispatched a struggling Florida A&M team pretty easily in their last game. The Texans shot a tepid 41.7 percent from the field in that one and cashed in 26 points off 20 Rattlers turnovers. That makes 170 combined points in the last two games for Tarleton State, but I doubt they’ll be able to keep that run going on Saturday. TX-Arlington should own this one if they play well.