Southern vs Texas Southern Prediction College Basketball Picks 1/4/25

Pick details

Texas Southern (3-10) vs Southern (5-8)

January 4, 2025 at 06:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Texas Southern -1 / Southern +1 — Over/Under: 142

(Get latest betting odds)

The Southern Jaguars are visiting the Texas Southern Tigers on Saturday, January 4th at the H&PE Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Southern Jaguars vs Texas Southern Tigers Prediction. We will examine:

The Texas Southern Tigers’ recent form and player performance

The Southern Jaguars’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Texas Southern Tigers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Southern Jaguars

Recent betting trends in games played between Southern Jaguars and Texas Southern Tigers

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Southern Jaguars vs Texas Southern Tigers game

Texas Southern Tigers Preview

The Texas Southern Tigers have a 3-10 record this season and are sitting in the 8th place of the SWAC. Arizona State is coming off a 103-68 win over College of Biblical Studies. The Tigers are 2-8 against the spread and 5-5 in over/under while having a 3-1 home record. 

Offensively, Texas Southern is averaging 72.8 points per game, which ranks 253rd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 82.2 points per game (352nd). The Tigers shoot 42.8% from the field (287th) and 32.8% from beyond the arc (230th). The Tigers shoot 73.5% from the free-throw line (124th) and are grabbing 35.7 rebounds per game (217th).

Kavion McClain leads Texas Southern in scoring this season, with 14.8 points, 3 rebounds, and a team-high 4.7 assists, while Kenny Hunter adds 9.4 points and a team-high 6.3 rebounds. Texas Southern will meet Grambling after this game.

Southern Jaguars Preview

The Southern Jaguars have a 5-8 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the SWAC. Southern is coming off a 43-77 loss in Nebraska. The Jaguars are 5-5 against the spread, and 4-6 in over/under, while having a 2-8 road record.

Offensively, Southern is averaging 76.3 points per game, which ranks 164th in the nation. Defensively, they are allowing 73.1 points per game (234th). The Jaguars shoot 43.1% from the field (269th) and 29.6% from beyond the arc (332nd). The Jaguars shoot 67.4% from the free throw line (286th) and are grabbing 37.5 rebounds per game (133rd).

Michael Jacobs leads Southern scoring this season, with an average of 10.6 points and 2.8 assists, while Jordan Johnson adds 9.7 points.

Why the Texas Southern Tigers will win

  • Texas Southern has won seven of its last eight day games against the Southwestern Athletic Conference.
  • Southern has lost each of its last six road games following a road loss.
  • The home team has won the first half in each of Southern’s last five games.

Why the Southern Jaguars will win

  • Texas Southern has lost five of its last six games.
  • Southern has won five of its last six day games.
  • Southern has won the first half in five of its last six day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Southern’s last seven games against Conference opponents has produced a total of 131 or fewer points.
  • Ten of the last 12 games between Southern and Texas Southern at Health and Physical Education Arena have produced a total of 144+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Texas Southern ranks 360th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (30.0).
  • Texas Southern ranks 359th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (10.9).
  • Southern ranks 360th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (5.1).
  • Southern ranks T8th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (10.3).

Southern Jaguars vs Texas Southern Tigers Prediction

Southern is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings against Texas Southern, and are 4-2 against the spread. Under is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings, and in their most recent meeting last season, Texas Southern won 68-56 at home, covering the spread as the game went under the total. In this Southern Jaguars vs Texas Southern Tigers Prediction, Texas Southern is coming as -1 home favorites. Southern is better both offensively, scoring 3.5 points more than Texas Southern, and defensively, allowing 9.1 points less. The Jaguars are winning by an average of 3.2 points this season, while the Tigers are losing by an average of 3.8 points. Both teams have been struggling lately, as they are 0-4 and 1-5 in their recent games, and are also struggling to score, as they are 6-1 to the under in their last 7 games combined. I don’t expect fireworks offensively in this game, so take the under.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 142

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