Mississippi Valley State vs Alabama State Prediction College Basketball Picks 1/4/25

Pick details

Alabama State (4-9) vs Mississippi Valley State (2-11)

January 4, 2025 at 04:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Alabama State -24 / Mississippi Valley State +24 — Over/Under: 140

(Get latest betting odds)

The Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils are visiting the Alabama State Hornets on Saturday, January 4th at the Dunn-Oliver Acadome. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs Alabama State Hornets Prediction. We will examine:

The Alabama State Hornets recent form and player performance

The Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Alabama State Hornets

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils

Recent betting trends in games played between Mississippi Valley State Delta Devilsand Alabama State Hornets

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs Alabama State Hornets game

Alabama State Hornets Preview

The Alabama State Hornets have a 4-9 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the SWAC. Alabama State is coming off a 65-82 loss in Missouri. The Hornets are 5-5-2 against the spread, and 7-5 in over/under, while having a 2-0 home record. 

Offensively, Alabama State is averaging 76.3 points per game, which is 162nd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 81.4 points per game (348th). The Hornets shoot with 41.1% from the field (337th), and with 33.8% from beyond the arc (188th). The Hornets shoot with 69.3% from the free-throw line (250th), and are grabbing 35.6 rebounds per game (222nd).

Ammar Knox leads Alabama State in scoring with an average of 14.7 points, while CJ Hines adds 14.8 points.

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Preview

The Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils have a 2-11 record this season and are sitting on the 9th place of the SWAC. Mississippi Valley State is coming off a 45-110 loss in LSU. The Delta Devils are 3-8 against the spread, and 6-5 in over/under, while having a 0-11 road record.

Offensively, Mississippi Valley State is averaging 51.2 points per game, which ranks dead last in the nation. Defensively, they allow 85.7 points per game, which is the 5th-worst nationally. The Delta Devils shoot with 37.9% from the field (360th), and with 28% from beyond the arc (355th). The Delta Devils shoot with 66.7% from the free-throw line (309th), and are grabbing 26.3 rebounds per game, which is the worst in the whole nation.

Arthur Tate leads Mississippi Valley State in scoring with an average of 10.4 points, while Donovan Sanders adds 8.6 points and 3.5 rebounds.

Why the Alabama State Hornets will win

  • Mississippi Valley State has lost each of its last 49 day games.
  • The home team has won each of Mississippi Valley State’s last 17 games.
  • The home team has won the first half in each of Mississippi Valley State’s last 14 games.

Why the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils will win

  • Alabama State has lost nine of its last 10 day games.
  • Alabama State has lost the first half in each of its last three games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Nine of Alabama State’s last 10 games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 145+ points.
  • Four of Mississippi Valley State’s last five games have produced a total of 141+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Alabama State ranks 358th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (41.5).
  • Alabama State ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (11.7%).
  • Mississippi Valley State ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for points per game this season (51.2).
  • Mississippi Valley State ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (-34.5).

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs Alabama State Hornets Prediction

Alabama State is 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against Mississippi Valley State, but Mississippi Valley State is 3-0 against the spread in their last 3 meetings. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings, and in their most recent meeting last season, Alabama State won 61-46 at home, not covering the spread as the game went under the total. In this Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Hawks vs Alabama State Hornets Prediction, Alabama State is coming as huge -24 road favorites. Alabama State is better both offensively, scoring 25.1 points more than Mississippi Valley State, and defensively, allowing 4.3 points less. The Hornets are losing by an average of 5.1 points this season, while the Delta Devils are losing by an average of 34.5 points. Mississippi Valley State is one of the weakest squads in the nation, and have been winless on the road, but also failing to cover their last six road games. Keep it simple and take the Alabama State Hornets to cover at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Alabama State Hornets -24

Hot Cappers

Latest Picks & Game Previews

  • MLB Player Prop Picks (Batter Props) 9/11/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

    September 11, 2025

  • Pittsburgh Pirates vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 9/11/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

    September 11, 2025

  • Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Laura Pigossi Prediction 9/11/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

    September 11, 2025

  • Iva Jovic vs Camila Osorio Prediction 9/11/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

    September 11, 2025

  • Nationals vs Marlins Prediction 9/11/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

    September 11, 2025

  • Tigers vs Yankees Prediction 9/11/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

    September 11, 2025

  • NC State vs Wake Forest Prediction 9/11/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

    September 11, 2025

  • Elise Mertens vs Elsa Jacquemot Prediction 9/10/2025 Today’s Tennis Picks

    September 11, 2025

  • Washington Commanders vs Green Bay Packers Prediction 9/11/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

    September 11, 2025

  • Washington Commanders vs Green Bay Packers Player Prop Picks 9/11/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

    September 11, 2025