Cal Baptist vs San Diego State Prediction College Basketball Picks 12/11/24

Pick details

San Diego State (6-2) vs Cal Baptist (5-4)

December 11, 2024 at 10:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: San Diego State -15.5 / Cal Baptist +15.5 — Over/Under: 136

(Get latest betting odds)

The California Baptist Lancers are visiting the San Diego State Aztecs on Wednesday, December 11th at the Viejas Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a California Baptist Lancers vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction.

San Diego State Aztecs Preview

The San Diego State Aztecs have a 6-2 record this season and are coming off a 74-57 win over San Diego. The Aztecs are 3-4 against the spread, and 3-4 in over/under, while they have a 3-1 home record.  The Aztecs are 3-0 in their last 3 games and 3-1 to the over in their last 4.

Offensively, San Diego State is averaging 75 points per game, which ranks 200th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 63.4 points per game (30th). The Aztecs shoot 45.5% from the field (167th) and 36.7% from beyond the arc (79th). The Aztecs shoot 65.8% from the free-throw line (314th) and are grabbing 38.8 rebounds per game (86th).

Nick Boyd leads San Diego State in scoring with an average of 12.6 points and a team-high 4.6 rebounds, while BJ Davis adds 12.4 points and 4.4 rebounds.

California Baptist Lancers Preview

The California Baptist Lancers have a 5-4 record this season and are coming off a 59-74 loss to UCF. The Lancers are 2-7 against the spread, and 5-4 in over/under while having a 0-1 road record.

Offensively, California Baptist is averaging 77.7 points per game, which ranks 146th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 76.7 points per game (300th). The Lancers shoot 43.8% from the field (229th) and 30.5% from beyond the arc (294th). The Lancers shoot 77.6% from the free-throw line (30th) and are grabbing 36 rebounds per game (206th).

Dominique Daniels leads California Baptist in scoring this season, with an average of 21.7 points and a team-high 3.1 assists, while Kendal Coleman adds 14 points and a team-high 8.8 rebounds. Cal Baptist will meet Middle Tennessee and Fresno State after this one.

Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win

  • San Diego State has won 23 of its last 24 night games against non-conference opponents at Viejas Arena.
  • California Baptist has lost each of its last four road games following a road loss.
  • San Diego State has won the first half in each of its last eight Wednesday night games against non-conference opponents.

Why the California Baptist Lancers will win

  • San Diego State has lost three of its last four games against the Western Athletic Conference.

California Baptist Lancers vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction

In this California Baptist Lancers vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, San Diego State is coming as a -15.5 home favorites. California Baptist is better offensively, scoring 2.7 points more than San Diego State, while San Diego State is better defensively, allowing 13.3 points less. The Aztecs are winning by an average of 11.6 points per game this season, while on the other hand, the Lancers are struggling with their shooting, ranking in the bottom half of the nation in field goal percentage and on the bottom 70 in 3-point percentage. The value here lies with the home team, so pick the San Diego State Aztecs to win and cover in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: San Diego State Aztecs -15.5

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