Vermont vs Yale Prediction College Basketball Picks 12/7/24

Pick details

Yale (4-5) vs Vermont (5-5)

December 7, 2024 at 02:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Yale -8.5 / Vermont +8.5 — Over/Under: 136

(Get latest betting odds)

The Vermont Catamounts are visiting the Yale Bulldogs on Saturday, December 7th at the John J. Lee Amphitheater. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Vermont Catamounts vs Yale Bulldogs Prediction.

Yale Bulldogs Preview

The Yale Bulldogs have a 4-5 record this season and are coming off a 78-84 loss in Rhode Island. The Bulldogs are 5-3 against the spread, and 7-1 in over/under, while they have a 2-0 home record. 

Offensively, Yale is averaging 84 points per game, which ranks 36th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 73.8 points per game (250th). The Bulldogs shoot 49.7% from the field (30th) and 38.3% from beyond the arc (40th). The Bulldogs shoot 71.8% from the free-throw line (160th) and are grabbing 38.2 rebounds per game (122nd).

John Poulakidas leads Yale in scoring with an average of 21.1 points and 3.2 rebounds, while Nick Townsend adds 13.1 points and 6 rebounds.

Vermont Catamounts Preview

The Vermont Catamounts have a 5-5 record this season and are coming off a 53-60 loss by Brown. The Catamounts are 1-8 against the spread, and 3-6 in over/under, while having a 1-3 road record this season. 

Offensively, Vermont is averaging 63.8 points per game, which ranks 348th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 66.7 points per game (84th). The Catamounts shoot 41.6% from the field (301st) and 32.1% from beyond the arc (244th). The Catamounts shoot 74.9% from the free-throw line (81st) and are grabbing 32.4 rebounds per game (324th).

TJ Hurley leads Vermont in scoring with an average of 13.6 points, while TJ Long adds 12.4 points and 3.1 rebounds. Vermont will meet Colgate, Miami (OH), Dartmouth, New Hampshire, and UMass Lowell after this game.

Why the Yale Bulldogs will win

  • Yale has won nine of its last 10 games at John J. Lee Amphitheater.
  • Vermont has lost three of its last four games at John J. Lee Amphitheater.
  • Yale has won the first half in 13 of its last 14 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Vermont Catamounts will win

  • Vermont has won each of its last 11 Saturday day games.
  • Yale has lost three of its last four day games against the America East Conference.
  • Yale has lost the first half in three of its last four games against the America East Conference.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Yale ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.88).
  • Yale ranks 12th among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (19.2).
  • Vermont ranks 14th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (9.2).
  • Vermont ranks T23rd among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (18.8).

Vermont Catamounts vs Yale Bulldogs Prediction

Vermont is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against Yale, but Yale is 3-1 against the spread in their last 4 meetings. Under is 4-0 in their last 4 meetings. In their most recent meeting last season, Vermont won 66-65 at home. In this Vermont Catamounts vs Yale Bulldogs Prediction, Yale is coming as a -8.5 home favorites. Yale is superior offensively, scoring 20.2 points more than Vermont, while Vermont is better defensively, allowing 6.1 points less. The Bulldogs are winning by an average of 10.2 points per game and boast elite shooting percentages, ranking in the top 40 of the nation both in field goal and in 3-point percentage. Vermont on the other hand, is a bottom-60 team in field goal percentage and below average in 3-point percentage, and they are terrible in covering this season. The value is with the home team so take the Yale Bulldogs and lay the points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Yale Bulldogs -8.5

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