Dallas Cowboys vs New Orleans Saints Prediction 8/28/2026 Picks

The New Orleans Saints and the Dallas Cowboys meet Friday in NFL preseason action from AT&T Stadium in Arlington. Here’s a Saints vs Cowboys prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Saints vs Cowboys pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

New Orleans Saints Betting Preview

The Saints’ first preseason game was on August 15 versus the Jacksonville Jaguars. New Orleans was up 20-6 at the break but still lost 24-20 in the end. QB Zach Wilson had 145 yards and a score off 11-of-16 passing and Audric Estime had five carries for 28 yards and a TD of his own. Leading receiver Bub Means had four catches for 77 yards.

On Saturday versus the Los Angeles Rams, New Orleans was down 20-0 by the end of the first half. The Saints gave up points in every quarter along the way to a 34-0 blowout shutout. QB Spencer Rattler was 14-of-23 for 14 yards and a pick, and Kendre Miller rushed six times for 22 yards. Tops in receiving was CJ Donaldson with four catches for 51 yards.

Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview

Over on the Dallas side, they played the Seattle Seahawks for their preseason opener. The Cowboys had a three-point lead at the break and eventually powered out the win 17-7. Joe Milton was 12-of-15 for 107 yards and a score, while Sam Howell added 94 yards and a TD on 8-of-12 passing. Malik Davis had seven carries for 39 yards. Camden Brown had three catches for 62 yards and both touchdowns.

On Saturday against the Arizona Cardinals, Dallas jumped out to a comfortable 24-6 lead by the end of the first half. The Cowboys scored in every quarter during a 34-13 win. Joe Milton was 9-of-13 for 179 yards and two touchdowns, while Jaydon Blue had 15 carries for 75 yards. Tops in receiving was Camden Brown with two grabs for 77 yards.

New Orleans Saints @ Dallas Cowboys Betting Trends 

Why the New Orleans Saints will win

• The Saints have won three of their last four games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
• The Saints have covered the spread in each of their last six games without Julian Blackmon.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Saints’ last nine games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.

New Orleans Saints Player Prop Facts

• Travis Etienne has scored a touchdown in each of his last four appearances with his team as a road underdog.
• Travis Etienne has recorded 16+ receiving yards in five of his last six Sunday road appearances.
• Tyler Shough has recorded 22+ rushing yards in each of the Saints’ last four games against NFC opponents.
• Tyler Shough has recorded 239+ passing yards in seven of the Saints’ last eight Sunday games.
• Alvin Kamara has recorded 91+ rushing and receiving yards in three of his last four appearances with the Saints as underdogs against NFC North opponents.
• Tyler Shough has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Saints’ last four Sunday games.
• Kool-Aid McKinstry recorded the equal-most interceptions in a single game last season (2 vs Giants, Week 5).

Matchup/League Facts

• Saints – two different players recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
• The Saints ranked 32nd in the NFL in red zone percentage (44.4%) last season.

Why the Dallas Cowboys will win

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Cowboys’ last six games played on the East Coast have gone OVER the total points line.
• Nine of the last 10 games between NFC East teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts

• Javonte Williams has scored at least one touchdown in four of his last five appearances against NFC East opponents.
• Luke Schoonmaker has recorded 12+ receiving yards in each of the Cowboys’ last four games as favorites against NFC opponents.
• Javonte Williams has recorded 101+ rushing and receiving yards in three of his last four appearances against NFC East opponents.
• Javonte Williams has recorded 83+ rushing yards in three of his last four appearances with the Cowboys as favorites against NFC opponents.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 25+ completions in five of the Cowboys’ last six September games as favorites.
• Brandon Aubrey ranked T1st in the NFL in 50+ yard field goals made (11) last season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Cowboys – two different players recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
• Cowboys – two different players recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.

Saints vs Cowboys Prediction

I’ll go with the Cowboys. Dallas put up 413 yards (238 passing) on offense during the win over the Cardinals, along with 23 first downs and 6-of-10 on third-down tries. The defense surrendered 325 yards and 5.6 yards per play but held pretty strong on third downs (4-of-10) to stop Arizona drives in their tracks.
As for the Saints, they didn’t look great in the Rams game. New Orleans had just 13 first downs and 7-of-16 on third-down tries, but the real killers were the three picks and 12 penalties for 96 yards. The defense gave up 405 yards and 28 first downs (with no takeaways) on the other side. The Saints need a huge bounce-back effort in this one.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Dallas Cowboys -1.5