Houston vs San Diego State Prediction College Basketball Picks 11/30/24

Pick details

San Diego State (3-2) vs Houston (4-1)

November 30, 2024 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: San Diego State +11.5 / Houston -11.5 — Over/Under: 128.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The San Diego State Aztecs are visiting the Houston Cougars on Saturday, November 30th at the MGM Grand Garden Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Diego State Aztecs vs Houston Cougars Prediction.

Houston Cougars Preview

The Houston Cougars have a 4-2 record this season and are coming off a 65-54 win over Notre Dame. The Cougars are 3-3 against the spread, and 3-3 in over/under while having a 3-0 home record. 

Offensively, Houston is averaging 80.3 points per game, which ranks 109th in the nation. Defensively, they allow just 57 points per game, which is the 6th-best in the nation. The Cougars shoot 45.8% from the field (156th) and 41.8% from beyond the arc, which is the 6th-best in the nation. The Cougars shoot 72.8% from the free-throw line (132nd) and are grabbing 38 rebounds per game (134th).

LJ Cryer leads Houston in scoring this season, with an average of 13.5 points, while Emanuel Sharp adds 13 points and 3.3 rebounds per game.

San Diego State Aztecs Preview

The San Diego State Aztecs have a 3-2 record this season and are coming off a 68-78 loss in Oregon. The Aztecs are 1-3 against the spread, and 1-3 in over/under while playing their first road game this season. 

Offensively, San Diego State is averaging 73.8 points per game, which ranks 227th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 63.6 points per game (40th). The Aztecs shoot with 46.1% from the field (142nd) and 39% from beyond the arc (36th). The Aztecs shoot 63.9% from the free-throw line (326th) and are grabbing 35.6 rebounds per game (238th).

BJ Davis leads San Diego State in scoring with an average of 15.6 points and 4.2 rebounds, while Nick Boyd adds 13.2 points and 4.4 rebounds.

Why the Houston Cougars will win

  • Houston has won each of its last 16 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • San Diego State has lost each of its last four games against the Big 12 Conference.
  • Houston has won the first half in 21 of its last 22 games against non-conference opponents.

Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win

  • San Diego State has won 15 of its last 19 games played at neutral venues.
  • Houston has lost three of its last four games played at neutral venues.
  • San Diego State has won the first half in six of its last eight games against non-conference opponents at neutral venues.

San Diego State Aztecs vs Houston Cougars Prediction

In their only previous meeting back in 2018, Houston won 67-65 at home. In this San Diego State Aztecs vs Houston Cougars Prediction, Houston is coming as a -11.5 home favorite. Houston is better both offensively, scoring 6.5 points more than San Diego State, and defensively, allowing 6.6 points less. The Cougars are winning by an average of 23.3 points per game this season and both teams boast elite defenses, as they are number 4 and 40 in the nation in points allowed, with 120.6 combined. This is a very low number so I don’t expect a lot of points in this game. Take the under.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 128.5

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