Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 6/21/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Colorado Rockies meet Sunday in MLB action from Coors Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Pittsburgh Pirates will send out Jared Jones for the start in this one and is 1-1 with a 6.23 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season. Michael Lorenzen will start for Colorado and is 2-8 with a 7.13 ERA and 60 strikeouts this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Recap

The Pittsburgh Pirates come into this game looking to shake off a 2-1 loss at the hands of the Rockies on Saturday to sit at 38-39 this season. After this series, the Pirates will head on the road for a game against the Seattle Mariners.

Pirates Lose Back-To-Back Games

Entering Saturday, Oneil Cruz has 66 hits including 10 doubles, 14 home runs and 44 RBIs while Ryan O’Hearn has 64 hits with 8 doubles, 11 home runs and 41 RBIs this season. Nick Gonzales has 77 hits with 11 doubles and 33 RBIs while Brandon Lowe has 65 hits with 17 doubles, 18 home runs and 49 RBIs and Bryan Reynolds has 77 hits with 17 doubles, 2 triples, 10 home runs and 48 RBIs as well this season.

Colorado Rockies Recap

The Colorado Rockies come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Pirates from Saturday to sit at 30-47 on the year. After this series, the Rockies will take on the Boston Red Sox at home.

Rockies Pick Up Consecutive Wins

Going into Saturday, TJ Rumfield has 72 hits with 14 doubles, 2 triples, 11 home runs and 38 RBIs while Ezequiel Tovar has 54 hits with 14 doubles, 5 home runs and 24 RBIs. Hunter Goodman’s added 66 hits with 12 doubles, 21 home runs and 39 RBIs. Troy Johnston has 73 hits with 21 doubles, 3 home runs and 34 RBIs. Willi Castro also has 62 hits with 13 doubles, 5 home runs and 32 RBIs.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Colorado Rockies Betting Trends: June 21, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Michael Lorenzen      Record this season: 2-8      ERA: 7.13
• Home Record: 1-3
• Last 5 against Pirates: 1-1

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

• The Pirates have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Rockies have won four of their last five games as home underdogs.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Rockies have covered the run line in five of their last six games.
• The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games against NL West opponents.
• The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jared Jones      Record this season: 1-1      ERA: 6.23
• Road Record: 1-1
• Last 5 against Rockies: 0-1

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Rockies have lost seven of their last eight day games against National League opponents.
• The Pirates have won four of their last five day games against the Rockies following a loss.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against National League opponents.
• The Pirates have covered the run line each of their last six Sunday games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Pirates have led after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against the Rockies at Coors Field.
• The Rockies have lost the first inning in each of their last four home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Rockies’ last nine day games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Pirates’ last four games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of Michael Lorenzen’s last six appearances as a starter.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of Jared Jones’ last six road appearances as a starter.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• Hunter Goodman has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Michael Lorenzen has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Ezequiel Tovar has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Hunter Goodman ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (21) this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in four of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Pirates as favorites.
• Bryan Reynolds ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.400) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.49).
• The Rockies rank 30th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.285).
• The Pirates rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (675).
• The Pirates rank 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (714).

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction

I’m backing Pittsburgh here. I know the Rockies have won the first two games of this series, but Michael Lorenzen is making a strong case for the worst pitcher in baseball and his numbers at Coors Field are dreadful this season which makes me ponder why he even signed for Colorado in the first place, knowing half of his starts would be in this ballpark. Either way, I think Lorenzen struggles here and the Pirates find a way to avoid the sweep. Give me Pittsburgh.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Pittsburgh -145