Troy (4-2) vs Merrimack (1-6)
Game Info: Friday, November 29, 2024 at 2:00 pm (Trojan Arena)
Betting Odds: Troy -11 / Merrimack +11 --- Over/Under: 136.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: ESPN+ Stream College Basketball all season on ESPN+. Sign up now! 
The Merrimack Warriors are visiting the Troy Trojans on Friday, November 29th at the Trojan Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Merrimack Warriors vs Troy Trojans Prediction.
Troy Trojans Preview
The Troy Trojans have a 4-2 record this season and are coming off an 86-72 win over UTSA. The Trojans are 4-2 against the spread, and 3-3 in over/under, while having a 2-0 home record.
Offensively, Troy is averaging 73.7 points per game, which ranks 237th in the nation. Defensively, they are allowing 69.8 points per game (157th). The Trojans shoot 45.7% from the field (162nd) and 30.4% from beyond the arc (286th). The Trojans shoot 75.2% from the free throw line (75th) and are grabbing 35.3 rebounds per game (245th).
Myles Rigsby leads Troy in scoring this season, with an average of 12.8 points and 3.7 rebounds, while Jackson Fields adds 9.7 points and a team-high 5.2 rebounds. Troy will face Eastern Kentucky, Houston, and Georgia State following this one.
Merrimack Warriors Preview
The Merrimack Warriors have a 1-5 record this season and are coming off a 74-81 loss in UMass Lowell. The Warriors are 3-3 against the spread, and 2-4 in over/under while having a 0-4 road record.
Offensively, Merrimack is averaging just 56.7 points per game, which is the fourth-worse in the nation. Defensively, they allow 69.2 points per game (145th). The Warriors shoot 37.2% from the field (357th) and 22.6% from beyond the arc, which is the seventh-worst in the nation. The Warriors shoot 73.2% from the free-throw line (114th) and are grabbing 30.2 rebounds per game (348th).
Adam Clark leads Merrimack in scoring this season, with an average of 18.5 points and a team-high 4.3 assists, while Sean Trumper adds 9.3 points and a team-high 5.3 rebounds. Merrimack will meet Canisius and Niagara after this one.
Why the Troy Trojans will win
- Troy has won each of its last 11 day games at Trojan Arena.
- Merrimack has lost each of its last six games.
- Troy has won the first half in each of its last 10 games at Trojan Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Merrimack Warriors will win
- Merrimack has won the first half in six of its last eight day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Troy's last 18 games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 139+ points.
- Twenty-four of Merrimack's last 31 games against non-conference opponents have produced a total of 136 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Troy ranks 357th among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (16.8).
- Troy ranks 356th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (20.2%).
- Merrimack ranks 361st among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (8.7).
- Merrimack ranks 361st among Division 1 teams for a three-point percentage this season (22.7%).
Merrimack Warriors vs Troy Trojans Prediction
In their only previous meeting back in 2022, Troy won at home, 73-54. In this Merrimack Warriors vs Troy Trojans Prediction, Troy is coming as -11 home favorites, and rightfully so. Merrimack has been one of the worst offenses in the nation this season, ranking in the bottom 10 in points scored and shooting percentages. The Warriors also rank in the bottom 20 of the nation in rebounding and are playing their fifth straight road game, having won none so far. The value here lies with the home team, so pick the Troy Trojans and lay the points at home.
Nikos’s Pick Troy Trojans -11
AUTHOR: Nikos Lagouretos
